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2011 BARCLAYS SCOTTISH OPEN PICKS

The Barclays Scottish Open heads to a new venue this year in the shape of Castle Stuart golf links. Designed by Mark Parsinen, who also co designed Kingsbarns, it may be worth looking over the recent Alfred Dunhill Links leaderboards. The Castle Stuart course plays 7,050 yards long to a par of 72 with many short par 4's and long par 3's. Expect the wind to blow in this year's Barclays Scottish Open. This week I'll be going all out on big priced players.

GOLF TRADING: Remember to check out my golf trading section, including a simple pre tournament betting strategy and screenshots of some profitable events. Betfair offer great value outright prices.

Barclays Scottish Open Picks
Pick 1: Peter Hanson E/W @ 40/1 (general) Fantastic wind player, in great form this season and has tournament form at the Alfred Dunhill Links. Hanson's game has really moved up a level this year and 40/1 looks great E/W value.

Pick 2: Martin Laird E/W @ 45/1 (Betfred) Laird has had a bit of a lull after a great opening to 2011. Signs of him returning to form though before the Barclays Scottish Open with a -10 finish at the Travelers 2 weeks ago. Ranks 31st in par 3 scoring average on the PGA Tour, tied for 5th in the links last year and 10th and 26th in the previous 2 Barclays Scottish Opens.

Pick 3: Nicolas Colsaerts E/W @ 66/1 (general) Big hitting Colsaerts has already hit a big winner for Nicspicks earlier in the year and showed signs that he was about to peak again at last week's French Open. Course could suit. A real threat to the big boys when on form as he showed at the matchplay.

Pick 2: Anders Hansen E/W @ 80/1 (Sporting Bet) Looking really menacing in the last 2 months on tour with 4 top 20's including two 2nd place finishes. I expected him to make a run at the lead on day 4 last week but he went backwards. Look for him to bounce back this week at the Barclays Scottish Open.

Note: If you're betting E/W, take advantage of Bet365's offer up to £200 in free bets to use on this week's Barclays Scottish Open.

Barclays Scottish Open Sleepers
Simon Dyson E/W @ 90/1 | Richie Ramsay E/W @ 80/1 Both prices with Bet365 2 players that love links golf. Both have good records at the Alfred Dunhill Links with Dyson a previous winner and both off recent top 5's in that event. Both know how to get around links courses and play in tough conditions. Ramsey could have won last week in France and has been gradually getting better in recent weeks and Dyson usually hits form in the latter half of the season.

Keep an eye on my Twitter app in blog sidebar or click link for upcoming John Deere Classic golf fancies this week.

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.