2011 BARCLAYS SCOTTISH OPEN PICKS

The Barclays Scottish Open heads to a new venue this year in the shape of Castle Stuart golf links. Designed by Mark Parsinen, who also co designed Kingsbarns, it may be worth looking over the recent Alfred Dunhill Links leaderboards. The Castle Stuart course plays 7,050 yards long to a par of 72 with many short par 4's and long par 3's. Expect the wind to blow in this year's Barclays Scottish Open. This week I'll be going all out on big priced players.

GOLF TRADING: Remember to check out my golf trading section, including a simple pre tournament betting strategy and screenshots of some profitable events. Betfair offer great value outright prices.

Barclays Scottish Open Picks
Pick 1: Peter Hanson E/W @ 40/1 (general) Fantastic wind player, in great form this season and has tournament form at the Alfred Dunhill Links. Hanson's game has really moved up a level this year and 40/1 looks great E/W value.

Pick 2: Martin Laird E/W @ 45/1 (Betfred) Laird has had a bit of a lull after a great opening to 2011. Signs of him returning to form though before the Barclays Scottish Open with a -10 finish at the Travelers 2 weeks ago. Ranks 31st in par 3 scoring average on the PGA Tour, tied for 5th in the links last year and 10th and 26th in the previous 2 Barclays Scottish Opens.

Pick 3: Nicolas Colsaerts E/W @ 66/1 (general) Big hitting Colsaerts has already hit a big winner for Nicspicks earlier in the year and showed signs that he was about to peak again at last week's French Open. Course could suit. A real threat to the big boys when on form as he showed at the matchplay.

Pick 2: Anders Hansen E/W @ 80/1 (Sporting Bet) Looking really menacing in the last 2 months on tour with 4 top 20's including two 2nd place finishes. I expected him to make a run at the lead on day 4 last week but he went backwards. Look for him to bounce back this week at the Barclays Scottish Open.

Note: If you're betting E/W, take advantage of Bet365's offer up to £200 in free bets to use on this week's Barclays Scottish Open.

Barclays Scottish Open Sleepers
Simon Dyson E/W @ 90/1 | Richie Ramsay E/W @ 80/1 Both prices with Bet365 2 players that love links golf. Both have good records at the Alfred Dunhill Links with Dyson a previous winner and both off recent top 5's in that event. Both know how to get around links courses and play in tough conditions. Ramsey could have won last week in France and has been gradually getting better in recent weeks and Dyson usually hits form in the latter half of the season.

Keep an eye on my Twitter app in blog sidebar or click link for upcoming John Deere Classic golf fancies this week.

3 comments:

  1. Good start for Hanson this week. Looking well poised at 6 under par! Let's hope he can keep it up. 40/1 was a great tip Nic.

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  2. Hi Nic,
    Just a quick one on the PGA this week.
    Have Johnny Vegas backed @ 120 and at one stage last night he was trading at 11.
    Was going to lay him (just for cost of my stake) as he was tenth of original price. Didnt in the end. Did you lay him at the time or do you normally let it slide until after rd 3 etc.

    Thanks
    Kevin

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi lads, cheers

    Kevin - It's all about the longrun. I was watching his odds all through yesterday but was never going to anything with regard to trading. The liklihood that Vegas, being -6 through 8 on a relatively easy course, was that he'd finish his round better than -6 and then he'd have the best of conditions with an early start in round 2. That would give him a chance to even trade odds on after 2 rounds if all went well.

    As it happens, he just seemed to completely lose his driver this time and went backwards but a good round today and he could get right back in it.

    So I wouldn't have even thought about trading him until at least after round 2 (and that only if he was down close to 2.0

    It would be a different story if you staked your pot with bigger bets on 2 or 3 players with target odds in mind but that's not what my strategy is about. My strategy is low risk/potential high gain over the longrun

    ReplyDelete

Any thoughts or fancies to share, then feel free... all feedback welcome