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Sanderson Farms Championship Tips, Rankings and key info

Sanderson Farms Championship tips, info and top 10 vs the field rankings (estimated odds to a 100% fair book)

1. Brandt Snedeker 16/1
2. Sungjay Im 20/1
3. Joaquin Niemann 20/1
4. Byeong Hun An 25/1
5. Mailing list pick 28/1
6. Brian Harman 28/1
7. Scottie Scheffler 28/1
8. JT Poston 33/1
9. Correy Conners 33/1
10. Mailing list pick 40/1


Course: Jackson CC, par 72, 7,460 yards

$8 entry: PGA Tour Best Ball 250k guaranteed on Draftkings Fantasy Golf this week

Defending champ: Cameron

Key features: Treelined, Shaven, sloping, bunker protected greens with run offs, dog-legs

Premium on: Total birdies, strokes gained putting, strategy and keeping the ball in play - underneath hole and avoiding shortside

He said: "I love it when people come up to me and say: I played that course and I'd better be thinking when I'm out there, I can do better on that hole" - course designer John Fought, who models his designs on Donald Ross methods

Course correlation: Sedgefield CC


Best bet: Roberto Castro, a man that features prominently at Sedgefield with numerous top 20s. Shot a (then) course record 62 at Jackson CC in 2015 en route to a t4. Was t5 again here last season. Simmering form wise. 29th in strokes gained: approach last season.

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BMW PGA Championship Wentworth Tips and Key Info

Nicspicks' BMW PGA Championship tips: top 10 vs the field rankings
(estimated fair prices to 100% book)

1. Rory McIlroy 8/1
2. Paul Casey 12/1
3. John Rahm 12/1
4. Francesco Molinari 20/1
5. Tommy Fleetwood 20/1
6. Shane Lowry 25/1
7. Justin Rose 25/1
8. Henrik Stenson 28/1
9. Tony Finau 28/1
10. Matt Fitzpatrick 28/1
.....

The course - Wentworth, west course, par 72: 7,284 yards

European Ryder Cup qualification begins this week

Key features: Woodland track with big elevation changes, penal bunkering, elevated greens with run offs, swirling winds and dog-legs. Firmness of course is key and should play a little softer with new September slot.

Premium on: GREENS IN REGULATION (high approach flight an advantage and a prominent recent theme). Positioning from tee and shaping it both ways is vital. Good short game needed for inevitable misses. Look to the longer iron flushers to excel at Wentworth.

Course specialists: SHANE LOWRY, Lee Westwood, Francesco Molinari, Chris Wood

Correlation: none


He said: "Obviously Wentworth is one of my favourite courses. I have such fantastic memories there. I think it will have really benefitted from the change of date this year and the conditions might be some of the best we will have ever seen on the west course" - Paul Casey, no.2 in my Fantasy rankings

Home game: Paul Casey, Ernie Els, Ross Fisher

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(Progressive/trending/ course fit value odds plays)

Best bet: The opening lines on Open Champion Shane Lowry 33/1 were too big on a player who rates Wentworth as 1 of his favourite and most suitable courses. The big man performed admirable in his Fedex Cup, just missing out on East Lake, following his lengthy post Open session. Things have settled down now and he'll see the BMW Championship as a kind of calm after the storm home game. Lowry owns 4 top 10s (6 top 20s), including a runner up finish at Wentworth. Strong Fantasy Play.


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Greenbrier Classic Rankings, Key Info and Best Bets

Greenbrier Classic Top 10 vs the field rankings | Twitter:@Nicspicks
(Prices are estimated fair odds to 100%. I have this market pretty bunched)

1. Bryson DeChambeau 16/1
2. Marc Leishman 20/1
3. Sungjae Im 20/1
4. Bubba Watson 25/1
5. Viktor Hovland 25/1
6. Jason Kokrak 28/1
7. Mailing list play 28/1
8. Mailing list play 33/1
9. Joel Dahmen 33/1
10. Kevin Na 33/1


The course: Old White TPC, par 70, 7,292 yards

Key Features: 2,000 feet above sea level. Resort Course pretty forgiving from the tee, although treelined, where many players are on 'vacation'. Course experience an advantage. Ugly shaped bearded bunkers.

Premium on putting from 10-25 feet, Greens in reg, distance control from approaches / approach prox - the altitude here makes approaches tricky and course exp. is an advantage. total birdies. Par 4 performance.


Player quotes:

"I know we're at altitude but I just couldn't get the ball to go pin high, it was going forever" - Tiger

"I've posed over a lot of iron shots and they end up not just a yard or 2 from where i figure but 10 or 12 yards off" - Phil


Best value bet: Joel Dahmen 85.00 is one of the most improved players on tour and I'm surprised to see him all but overlooked this week, especially given he was t5 here last year with 4x rounds in the sixties. He followed that with a runner up at the TPC Deere run where approach proximity is also key. Dahmen almost won at Quail Hollow this year in a stellar field and also recorded strong finishes at the likes of Torrey and Sawgrass. He ranks 6th in total birdies.

Current form and course fit - see mailing list ...

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KLM Open Rankings, insights and best bet

KLM Open Top 10 vs the field rankings | Twitter:@Nicspicks
(Prices are estimated fair odds to 100%)

1. Thomas Pieters 10/1
2. Patrick Reed 10/1
3. Martin Kaymer 12/1 (1st in par 5 scoring, 10th in approach)
4. Sergio Garcia 12/1 (1st in SG:approach)
5. Lee Westwood 16/1 (2nd SG: app)
6. Joost Luiten 18/1
7. Matt Wallace 18/1
8. Gavin Green 25/1
9. Tom Detry 25/1
10. Mike Lorenzo Vera 28/1
11. mailing list play


The course: International, Amsterdam, par 73, 6,966 yards

Key Features: Risk/ Reward strategic course with short par 5s and drivable par 4s. Mound surround. Large undulating, tiered and elevated greens with run offs, false fronts or deep bunkering, incorporating many pin positions. Doglegs both ways (maybe slight draw bias). Water Hazards in play.

Premium on approach play and distance control, controlled aggression on risk reward holes, lag putting on multi-tiered greens, par 5 scoring

Best bet: If we are talking the most likely player to win with a touch of value, Thomas Pieters 14/1 is him. 11th in birdies and 12th in strokes gained approach, backing Pieters on tracks with a lot of scoring opportunities has proven a +EV play at opening prices. 14s in a weak field is again (IMO) +EV here. Pieters has his confidence back after a win in the Czech Repubic and boasts 4 top 20s in his last 5. I expect him to make headway on the field with all these risk reward holes with his power

Course form and fit

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