Course Fit Profiling Model And Ratings For Golf Betting

Interactive Course Fit Ratings Model

Course Fit is a variable that's given me a significant edge in golf betting through the years. Course fit is hard to quantify, with no specific numbers widely available. Through experience, analysis & watching countless events I formed a strong intuition re course specific player suitability. I developed the course fit model above which puts a rating on my analysis using my profiling manual inputs. 

(note: a very strong course fit rating equates to ~2 exp. SG/R vs a neutral course, as a guide) There are outlier cases: Bryson at Augusta would be expected to pick up around 2.5-3 strokes a round on average for example.

For best results on each players course fit numbers for the golf tournament in question, input the ratings from my course fit profiling manual (click link for info) which includes key attribute ability data from each player and a number of courses on the golf tour rota. I've always given a strong weighting in my tissue odds to course fit. You can use your own inputs on the interactive model above too. Click the manual picture below to see all details about it....

Nicspicks Ebook - click image for details

My player profiling and course fit manual above supplies all the data for the top players across the European and PGA Tours. It lists all the metrics and weightings for the various courses. Using this data you can plug the numbers into the interactive model above and get an accurate course fit rating for whatever player on whatever course


Recent Big Winners: Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1
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Golf Betting Tips: Profiling Manual