Course Fit Profiling Model And Ratings For Golf Betting
Course Fit is a variable that's given me a significant edge in golf betting through the years. Course fit is hard to quantify, with no specific numbers widely available. Through experience, analysis & watching countless events (empirical learning) I formed a strong intuition re course specific player suitability. I developed the course fit model above which puts a rating on my analysis using my profiling manual inputs. (note: a very strong course fit rating equates to ~2 exp. SG/R vs a neutral course, as a guide) There are outlier cases: Bryson at Augusta would be expected to pick up around 2.5-3 strokes a round on average for example with his driving and long iron ability.
For best results on each players course fit numbers for the golf tournament in question, input the ratings from my course fit profiling manual (click link for info) which includes key attribute ability data from each player and a number of courses on the golf tour rota. I've always given a strong weighting in my tissue odds to course fit. You can use your own inputs on the interactive model above too. Click the manual picture below to see all details about it....
Nicspicks Ebook - click image
My player profiling and course fit manual above supplies all the data for the top players across the European and PGA Tours. It lists all the metrics and weightings for the various courses. Using this data you can plug the numbers into the interactive model above and get an accurate course fit rating for whatever player on whatever course