NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

GOLF BETTING TIPS - NICSPICKS

Nicspicks free golf betting tips blog is a service providing some of the best expert weekly tips from the PGA and European Tours. It is renowned as one of the best tipping or golf tipster consultancy services around, providing expert advice and insights weekly into the upcoming events on the main circuits.

The blog is now 12 years old and has been one of the best free tipping services in that time, amassing over 1000 units of profit with the mailing list consultancy service showing an 8 year average ROI now circa 25% and a probability value of almost 0 (< 0.005). Nicspicks golf betting tips service provides weekly insights and shortlist of players email across the PGA Tour and European golf Tours. The golf betting tips service only takes a virtual beer to get on!


Tips Results, Profit & Loss (up until 2020)

Here are the figures of the premium golf betting tips service since inception:

2012 +239.79 ROI% 39.8
2013 +188.65 ROI% 24.32
2014 +300.83 ROI% 33.8
2015 +110.84 ROI% 23.72
2016 +60.7 ROI% 17.1%
2017/18 : no service
2019: -91.92 ROI% -19.60%
2020 + 10.63 ROI% +1.63%

In 2021 we had the best year of the Nicspicks service so far in terms of big priced winners. I'm no longer advising specific staking plans but my personal outrights (all tips on list) showed a return of 56.75% POT recorded to 1/5th 10 places wherever possible. Many subscribers were quite a bit higher than that. 2021 saw a myriad of huge winners (see bottom of site) and we ran far above expectation. The P-value for outrights was 0.023 so despite the good side of variance that would suggest a strong skill showing too. The previous 18 months or so and through the covid period was the opposite so I suppose it's balancing out over the 3 years and falling in line with all the previous year's averages. 

It has been a very interesting grind the last few years with competition across the PGA Tour and European golf tour getting so strong and deep. The betting edges and margins are definitely decreasing for all the very best golf betting experts and tipsters, and variance is even more prominent. That said, where there are swings there are often roundabouts, and I'm finding different areas of the golf betting markets are now offering what I feel are good value. I continue to share my findings basically for free because I flipping love it. Backing to lay big outsiders and In-play trading has been an important feature on Nicspicks and inplay is becoming a lot more popular with the boom in golf betting in the US and IMG's golf betting takeover leading to more and more markets. In play golf betting definitely gives us more room to find "ANGLES AND EDGES"

The tipping service doesn't run on a subscription basis. Nicspicks golf betting tips blog is one of the best and most transparent services out there and simply runs on a fair is fair model, where you buy Nic a few pints/beers as a thank you for winning golf tips, or the general expert golf advice he shares, which is all basically free. You will then be added to the members mailing list. You would also be well advised to follow on twitter @nicspicks to make sure you don't miss out on any of the free nuggets of info, or subsidiary market tips, including first (1st) round leader tips and best top 10 or top 20 golf tips for the week.

Have a Browse around the blog, starting at the home page, and find all the best free weekly expert golf betting tips and insights from all the recent PGA Tour and European Tour golf events. Hit me up on Twitter or on the email.

Cheers for beers, Nic 

Tags: Free golf betting tips, Expert golf betting tips, Best golf betting tips, PGA Tour tips, European Tour golf tips, best golf betting tipsters

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.