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GOLF BETTING: 3M Open Tips - Wolff to tame TPC Twin Cities again




Defending 3M Open Champion Matthew Wolff loves this type of low scoring layout, as he showed again in Detroit a few weeks back

We have the 2nd instalment of the 3M Open on the PGA Tour, albeit a shorter version of this track has been in use by the Champions Tour from 2001 to 18. Tom Lehman will tee it up this week at the 3M Open and had a hand in the redesign. This is a shootout, but one that favours the bombers rather than hot putters, with the par 5s and three reachable par 4s on an easy parklands style track exposed in areas. The 3M market looks pretty open with potential angles to exploit, and is a much better betting opportunity than most of the events since the hiatus.

Note: I've posted my 3M Open top 20 vs the field odds over on my
new Patreon Platform which provides extra exclusive content to supporters - see snippet below

3M Open top 20 odds rankings to 100%

course fit numbers on all the top players weekly can be worked out using the data in my course fit profiling manual and you can plug the numbers into the model at the bottom of the website

3M Open Target player profile

Definitely one for the aggressive big hitting par breaker machines. Low scoring required.

Course - TPC Twin Cities - par 71, 7,498 yards

Key Features:
Parkland track - Numerous water hazards - scorable par 5s - generous landing areas - 3 x drivable par 4s - risk / reward par 5 18th over water for dramatic finish

Greens: Bentgrass
Fibre: 3.5 inches (primary 2019)


Premium on (key metric weightings)

Driving distance (2)
Irons (3)
Holing out (2)
Par breakers (3)
Approach (2)

note: you can insert these ratings in the course fit model at the bottom of the webpage along with player ratings from the manual to get course fit scores

Chicken Nuggets: Lucas Glover and Matthew Wolff both shot 62 here at the 3M Open last year, tying the course record

3M OPEN TIPS

The weekly selections are bred from my progressive form ratings, and player game styles from my 2020 course fit profiling manual. Click the link to check out what it's about. There is also an interactive model and a course fit / player profile section at the bottom of this website to check out.

Tip 1: Matthew Wolff 30/1 EW / FRL

Player ability: 8.66 ( see manual)
Price value: 8
Progressive form rating: 7.7
Course fit-o-meter: 8.7
Overall value bet strength: 8.26


example screenshot above shows Matthew Wolff's rating from the interactive course fit profiling model at the bottom of the website - try it out yourself by scrolling down

Tip 2: Lucas Glover EW 33/1 / FRL
(see fig 1.a below)

Player ability: 7.9
Price value: 7
Progressive form rating: 8.43
Course fit-o-meter: 8.37
Overall value bet strength: 7.92

Tip 3: Sam Burns 50/1 EW / FRL

Player ability: n/a
Price value: 7
Progressive form rating: 8.57
Course fit-o-meter: 8.6
Overall value bet strength: 8.06


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example screenshot above shows Lucas Glover's player profile from the course fit profiling manual

TIPS JUG

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