NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

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Golf Betting: AT&T Pebble Beach pro am tips - Event and California Specialists to prosper

Pebble Beach pro am form and pedigree in California counts for a lot this week



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There's a strong theme on the At&T Pebble Beach leaderboards through the years of those that are comfortable on the small Poa Annua Greens at Pebble, and in the general California area featuring strongly. It takes a certain temperament to play in a pro am format and many of the same names are present year after year.

Pebble Beach Pro Am 2020 Betting Tips Guide

Pebble Beach Pro Am target player proflie: we are looking for players with local ties, repeat event form, a liking for Poa Annua surfaces and or a certain relaxed type of mentality. Ability in the wind a bonus. A sharp short game gets it done.

The courses

Pebble Beach Golf Links - par 72, 6816 yards
Monterey Peninsula - par 71, 6958 yards
Spyglass Hill - par 72, 6953 yards

Key features: Small Poa Greens, Generous landing areas on all tracks, Coastal winds, accessible pin positions. Rough will be down this week for Pro Am format. Elevation changes

Premium on: Strokes gained: around the green, scrambling, ball flight control in the seaside breezes. Distance control from approaches

Chicken nuggets:

Sung Kang holds the ind. course scoring record, shooting 60 on the Monterey track. Poa Annua and Cali specialist Brandt Snedeker holds the tournament record with a win total of -22. Highly rated youngster Brandon Wu has local ties and some good memories on the Pebble Beach course itself - one to potentially get onside this week at a price.

Pebble Beach Pro am Key Metric leaders - Strokes gained: ATG 2019

Pebble Beach / Monterey specialists: Dustin Johnson, Brandt Snedeker, Phil Mickelson, Jason Day, Jordan Spieth, Kevin Na, Nick Watney, Viktor Hovland (Won US Am at Pebble / T12 US Open low am record), Jimmy Walker

AT&T Pebble Beach Rankings
(est. win odds to 100% fair book)
1. Dustin Johnson 10/1
2. Phil Mickelson 16/1
3. Brandt Snedeker 16/1
4. Patrick Cantlay 16/1
5. Paul Casey 22/1
6. Jordan Spieth 25/1
7. Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1
8. Jason Day 25/1
9. Viktor Hovland 28/1
10. Matt Kuchar 28/1

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am tips:

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Tip 1: Brandt Snedeker EW 25/1
Tip 2: Phil Mickelson EW 33/1
Tip 3: Jordan Spieth 40/1 EW
Tip 4: Viktor Hovland EW 33/1
Tip 5: Kevin Na 70/1 EW
Tip 6: Brandon Wu 250/1 EW

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.