Golf Betting: AT&T Pebble Beach pro am tips - Event and California Specialists to prosper

Pebble Beach pro am form and pedigree in California counts for a lot this week

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There's a strong theme on the At&T Pebble Beach leaderboards through the years of those that are comfortable on the small Poa Annua Greens at Pebble, and in the general California area featuring strongly. It takes a certain temperament to play in a pro am format and many of the same names are present year after year.

Pebble Beach Pro Am 2020 Betting Tips Guide

Pebble Beach Pro Am target player proflie: we are looking for players with local ties, repeat event form, a liking for Poa Annua surfaces and or a certain relaxed type of mentality. Ability in the wind a bonus. A sharp short game gets it done.

The courses

Pebble Beach Golf Links - par 72, 6816 yards
Monterey Peninsula - par 71, 6958 yards
Spyglass Hill - par 72, 6953 yards

Key features: Small Poa Greens, Generous landing areas on all tracks, Coastal winds, accessible pin positions. Rough will be down this week for Pro Am format. Elevation changes

Premium on: Strokes gained: around the green, scrambling, ball flight control in the seaside breezes. Distance control from approaches

Chicken nuggets:

Sung Kang holds the ind. course scoring record, shooting 60 on the Monterey track. Poa Annua and Cali specialist Brandt Snedeker holds the tournament record with a win total of -22. Highly rated youngster Brandon Wu has local ties and some good memories on the Pebble Beach course itself - one to potentially get onside this week at a price.

Pebble Beach Pro am Key Metric leaders - Strokes gained: ATG 2019

Pebble Beach / Monterey specialists: Dustin Johnson, Brandt Snedeker, Phil Mickelson, Jason Day, Jordan Spieth, Kevin Na, Nick Watney, Viktor Hovland (Won US Am at Pebble / T12 US Open low am record), Jimmy Walker

AT&T Pebble Beach Rankings
(est. win odds to 100% fair book)
1. Dustin Johnson 10/1
2. Phil Mickelson 16/1
3. Brandt Snedeker 16/1
4. Patrick Cantlay 16/1
5. Paul Casey 22/1
6. Jordan Spieth 25/1
7. Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1
8. Jason Day 25/1
9. Viktor Hovland 28/1
10. Matt Kuchar 28/1

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am tips:

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Tip 1: Brandt Snedeker EW 25/1
Tip 2: Phil Mickelson EW 33/1
Tip 3: Jordan Spieth 40/1 EW
Tip 4: Viktor Hovland EW 33/1
Tip 5: Kevin Na 70/1 EW
Tip 6: Brandon Wu 250/1 EW

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tags: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro am Tips, Golf betting tips, Pebble Beach tips, Pebble Beach Pro am betting tips
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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