Champions League Betting Nov 2-3

The champions league football this week sees the reverse of the round 3 fixtures that took place a few weeks ago so with those games still fresh in the mind, it will be easier to spot some good value champions league football tips.

Standout football fixtures in terms of betting are the games involving the English teams as well as Real Madrid's clash with AC Milan. Arsenal travel to Donetsk without influential captain Cesc Fabregas and its hardly surprising to see Shaktar Donetsk's price shortening across the books given their domestic record. Manchester UTD travel to Bursaspor in another standout Champions League clash and offer some decent value to win at 4/5 but I'll be Dutching the winning margin to get a little extra value on that tip. Luis Nani will be looking to add to his great form with another goal in Turkey after recently labeling himself as "One of the best" footballers.

Real Madrid travel to AC Milan in what looks a tough encounter and Hercules showed at the weekend that the Madrid defense is still vulnerable, especially to champions league quality teams and I fancy Zlatan as a good value tip to benefit from the creativity of Pirlo, Ronaldinho and Pato and score tomorrow night.

Champions League game of the week for betting is Tottenham Hotspur v Inter Milan where Diego Milito will possibly make his return. Likely to be on the bench though with Benitez looking to the pace of Eto once again on the counter to exploit the Spurs' defense. Wilson Palacios may come in for Spurs and with some tough tackling likely and 17/10 on Unibet is good value for a booking if he does. Corners and goals may be in store at White Heart Lane with the likes of Sneijder and Van Der Vaart pulling the strings and firing in shots and the pace and firepower on show in general.

Champions League Football Tips Nov 2-3:
Tip 1: Luis Nani anytime goal scorer v Burspasor @ 3.65 ((Betfair)
Tip 2: Spurs v Inter Milan over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 ((Betfair)
Tip 3: Zlatan anytime goal scorer v Real Madrid @ 9/4 (Unibet)

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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