Premiership/ European Football Picks Nov 21/22

Eduaro can keep Gunners goingEduardo Time The English Premier league is back after the horrible injustice of football that was the debacle in France but it was also a bad International soccer break for the Gunners before the premiership resumes, with the news that main striker Van Persie picked up an injury and will join Bendtner on the Emirates sidelines. It's not all doom and gloom though as that makes way for Eduardo, the Croatian Robbie Fowler, who IMO is 1 of the very top goal scorers in the football business and is the best value soccer pick of the weekend for me @ 7/4 anytime scorer on Expekt. Of the European football fixtures, In Spain, a struggling Atletico will try to get their Spanish football season going with a trip to Deportivo and the standout fixture in the German Bundesliga is most definitely a struggling Bayern Munich vs Nic's value Picks antepost value pick of the German Season - Bayer Leverkusen, who currently sit pretty at the top of the table .... Stay tuned for Premiership/ European football value picks ....

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Selection: Sunderland vs Arsenal

Bet: Eduardo anytime scorer

Info: With Van Persie and Bendtner out injured, it will be up to Eduardo to keep Arsenal's run going and IMO Eduardo is 1 of the best finishers around. With the chances Arsenal can and will create, 7/4 is way overpriced on him hitting the back of the net.

Confidence:55-60% Stake:2.5pts Odds: 7/4 Book: Expekt



Selection: Liverpool vs Man City

Bet: Over 11 corners

Info: City this year have been averaging a high corner count due to the style of play they've adapted and the pace they have in the attacking positions to get in behind. Anfield more often than not hits double figures on the corner count due to the home team having a lot of action in the final third as well as it's small surface area and atmosphere at the ground.

Confidence:70-75% Stake:4pts Odds: 4/5 Book: Bluesq

Selection: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

Bet: Koln win (+1) handicap

Info: Hoffenheim struggling for goals on the road this season, Koln's matches are usually tight affairs, a draw a likely outcome

Confidence:70-75% Stake:4pts Odds: 8/11 Book: Bet365

Selection: Chelsea vs Wolves

Bet: Score/ win double - Drogba/ Chelsea VOID(Non runner)

Info: Easy home win for Chelsea on paper. Unlikely the Wolves defense will be able to cope with an in form Drogba

Confidence:70% Stake:3.5pts Odds: 10/11 Book: Betfred


Selection: Deportivo vs Atletico

Bet: Aguero anytime scorer

Info: Aguero has finally caught some form of late with 3 goals in his last hour of club football and is a decent price to keep it going on saturday

Confidence:50% Stake:2pts Odds: 2-1 Book: Bet365
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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