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EUROPEAN FOOTBALL ANTEPOST PICKS

Bundesliga:

-3pts win Mario gomez top scorer @ 15/2 (skybet) got his big move to Bayern in the summer and he will get a mountain of chances. He will be VERY tough to beat barring long term injury. Big value price and looks like Ribery may bw still there to supply the ammo.




-2pts E/W Marcus Berg Top scorer @ 16/1 1/4 odds places 1-4 (bet 365)New Hamburg striker showed when tipped at a big price for the European U21 championships, just how lethal he is in front of goal.Brought in to replace Ivica Olic, expec the goals to flow.

-1.5pts E/W Patrik Helmes top scorer @ 33/1(general) The bookmakers are seriously underestimating Bayern Leverkusen this year and Helmes who is arguably Germany's top striker won't mind being priced at such ridiculous odds when he tries to fire Leverkusen to the top.Note:Anyone taking this bet be aware that helmes will miss the first couple of months of the season hence the massive price

-5pts Bayer Leverkusen top 3 finish @ 5/1(Betfair) As previously mentioned, everyone is underestimating Leverkusen this year and the bookmakers are making them a ridiculous 8th in their list of favourites. The exchange top 3 price represents the best bet though. IMO, they will be the biggest challengers to a resurgent and hurt Bayern Munich this year with the likes of Renato Augusto and Arturo vidal and Sami Hyypia all having a big role to play as well as Helmes of course(when he gets back).

-5pts Valencia winner W/O Real Madrid and Barca @ 11/2 (Betfred) Valencia have kept david Villa and this is the season where the fron 3 of Mata, Villa and Silva will cause mayhem in La Liga, with Pablo, Joaquin and Vicente all waiting in the wings. Atletico, Villarreal and Sevilla all have gaping weaknesses.

-3pts David Villa top scorer @ 8/1 (general) Valencia will creat a lot of chances for villa. he won't miss too many. The big 2 teams will share their goals around.

-3pts Diego Forlan top goalscorer @ 10/1 (general) Winner of the Picichi last year and just as likely to battle it out with the likes of Villa, Kanoute and Messi again this year.

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.