Shriners Open Tips - Big Priced Players On The Radar
The Shriners Open at TPC Summerlin is one of my very favourite venues to profile for. We've had quite a bit of success here in the past and last year Martin Laird was one of the players flagged up in my course fit profiling manual as one to watch at the start of the season.
On the week in question Laird was priced at 200 to 250/1 in the books and bigger on the exchange. since then the manual has thrown up more big winners well ahead of time such as Cameron Champ at 100/1+ for the 3M Open and a near miss but big placer with Ross McGowan in Cran. The ratings in the manual are formulated using official PGA and European tour stats and are currently relevant for season 2022...
SHRINERS OPEN TIPS
Onto this week and half of the guys on the one to watch list in the Shriners Open profile page feature, with Nick Watney being this year's potential Martin Laird. Or one of a few. Watney is a local resident who knows Summerlin better than most and owns some form here at the Shriners including a runner up to course specialist Kevin Na. TPC Summerlin bears a lot of significant similarities to TPC Boston where Watney also thrived in his heyday. The last month or so has seen a big resurgence in form from Nick culminating in a 2nd place at Sanderson Farms where he ranked 5th for greens in reg and unusually for him - 1st in putting.
Watney is renowned for his ball striking (especially his off the tee / total driving ability), which is the major premium at Summerlin, so if he has the flat stick warmed up as well, along with local knowledge I wouldn't be surprised to see him up there competing again this week at a big price of 150/1 ew. At one stage Watney was right alongside DJ in career trajectory so he has the game to beat them all.
Talking about total driving and I'm also going to get another challenger from last week onside in the shape of young Cameron Young. :) Willy Zal talks up the prospects of Young and by all accounts he is going to be one of the best drivers of the ball on tour which should stand him in good stead at the Shriners. The track is at altitude and has some elevation changes and raised greens - that can cause problems for players unfamiliar with the playing conditions so it's probably going to be hit or miss for Cameron but I'm happy to speculate to accumulate.
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SHRINERS OPEN COURSE PREMIUMSThe premiums for Summerlin are below. Basically we want a strong with the big stick / tee to green player who makes a lot of par breakers. Experience at Summerlin or similar is a plus.
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We were on Joseph Bramlett 150/1 here last year due mainly to his local connections and 'two As' Aaron Wise 66/1 is always on the Shrinerdar for similar reasons, if priced generously. Both have extensive track knowledge from practicing and Wise's coach was based at Summerlin ...... he may still be. Bramlett won the Tour Champs on the KFT not too long ago in style and local man Mav McNealy's roomate could be a dark horse here. Wise has averaged 27.5 on the leaderboard in his last 4 events. I believe that is the definition of "simmering". In 2019 I put up all the key stats rankings for this place and Aaron was all over them. He of three different nationalities is a birdie machine when on song.
Again all bets on the shortlist this week for both the Shriners Open and also the Open de Espana can be found only on my members mailing list but I'll round out this piece with the Hoff. Another resident of Las Vegas, Charley used to have a lot of duties here for charity etc and he couldn't really get his prep in properly. I don't think he does as much these days and the Hoffmeister is at around 50/1 at a gaff he knows well. Again, he has that form at TPC Boston too. Remember Charley also likes a flying start.... #FRLdar
If you enjoyed this preview there's plenty on what's behind my methodology and thought process, plus loads more in my golf betting book "Angles & Edges"....