Thoughts and outsiders for the Alfred Dunhill Links and the Sanderson Farms
Alfred Dunhill Links
The Alfred Dunhill Links will see the usual who's who of celebrities infiltrate the pro groupings across Carnoustie, Kingsbarns and ST. Andrews (2 rounds). The 1st of those 3 is well known to be the toughest and is known as Carnasty when conditions are brutal. Maybe that's the case for this week as current forecast suggests 15-20 mph winds and rain over the first couple of days. There may be an angle in keeping a close eye on the weather througout the in play.
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With that in mind I'd suggest treading carefully and maybe get a few bad weather players on board. Two such guys who have good records in the Alfred Dunhill Links and are at big quotes of 300-550/1 are Stephen Gallacher and Michael Hoey and I'll have them onside in various markets.
More Speculative plays I really like this week are the simmering George Coetzee 125/1 who is featured on the profile page for the Alfred Dunhill Links in my course fit profiling manual. It has been a strange couple of years for Big George but he can show up anywhere like he did with a win not too long ago on the Saffa Tour. George is a strong fit especially for ST. Andrews where he held the previous course record 62.
Min Woo Lee comes in at around 70/1 ew and also owns a strong course fit rating for ST. Andrews. the Australian is well used to the wind and this type of track and has one of the best swings in the game. His length will be an advantage on the host course and he's a regular near the top of the short game/scrambling stats. Min Woo won in a strong field at Renaissance a couple of months back in Scotland which is quite a similar links course to ST. Andrews.
The main play for the Alfred Dunhill Links will be Robert MacIntyre at around 33s. Another Scot suited to the course and probable conditions, aswell as the right attitude to compete in a slow and fun type pro-am event. Putting on the links is not usually a premium and that negates his weakness.
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