Scroll for course fit and progressive form models & info

Memorial Tournament Preview, Rankings and Ratings

Muirfield Village held back to back events last year due to Covid and the Memorial played tougher than the workday in the main, down to a stiffer 10-15mph wind, and pin positions. Morikawa nudged out Thomas in a playoff at the Workday and Jon Rahm was victorious in the tougher challenge that was the Memorial. Since then Muirfield Village or Jack's place as it's known has seen some renovations, mainly changes to the green complexes, but I don't expect it to play too much differently. 

 Below are my odds chart with rankings, fair odds and all relevant course info and premiums etc from my course fit manual and model. My headline selection's course fit rating is in the screenshot of the course fit model. There is a big emphasis on approach play at Muirfield Village so expect the top iron players to come to the fore.


Please note: all weekly Euro/PGA tour tips, advice and sub market plays are available through my  members mailing list email

Memorial Tournament Rankings



NEW: my book "ANGLES & EDGES" is out, covering everything in 15 years of golf betting & beating the markets - Take a look:


Muirfield Village Course Information

Below is the Muirfield village profile page from my course fit profiling manual. Everything you need to know about the course aswell as some potential ones to watch is on the page. The ebook can also be bought below if you fancy a copy

   

Take a look at the target player profile above. It describes fully this week's headline selection Hideki Matsuyama available at around 25/1 ew and with some extra places. As you can see from my odds chart I have him around 20s and I actually thought that was a smidgeon generous in truth. He loves this place and looks to be progressing nicely back into form after his Masters comedown. Hideki was always towards the top of the proximity rankings which is huge for Muirfield Village and the main reason he excels here. I've doubled him with Laurie Canter EW cross double in the European Open.

Below is Hideki's course fit rating for Muirfield Village using data and course premiums from my   course fit profiling manual (available above) and model.

You can click the model screenshot to use the interactive version. All profiles and weekly data are available in my manual which is in eBook format
NEW: my book "ANGLES & EDGES" is out, covering everything in 15 years of golf betting & beating the markets - Take a look:

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.