NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Charles Schwab Challenge Ratings - JT to Post a Number

Colonial Country Club is the stop for the Charles Schwab Challenge and this was the first event back last season post Covid Break. There were no fans and the fibre was up, meaning errant tee balls were punished more. This is your typical pitch and putt track. All Charles Schwab Challenge and Colonial course information is above, or see below for key metric premiums and players on the radar.

Here is my odds chart and rankings in order. I price my odds to a 100% fair book (no margin). The guys in green you can see clearly are strong value against the market price in my opinion and some of them feature in the ones to watch on the Colonial Profile page (above, from course fit manual)

Charles Schwab Challenge Odds chart/ Rankings

Course information.....

NEW: my book "ANGLES & EDGES" is out, covering everything in 15 years of golf betting & beating the markets - Take a look:


The Premiums and key metric weightings for Colonial are below. Click the image if you want to use the interactive version of the model. All my official data to plug into the model is available in my course fit profiling manual (click link to see details) to get course fit rating numbers for the players

Fancies...

Please note: all weekly Euro/PGA tour tips, advice and sub market plays are available through my  members mailing list 


I like a few guys at juicy prices this week at Colonial. All weekly picks are available through my members mailing list. As you can see Colonial is a ball srikers playground. Accuracy and positioning from tee to green is needed and then as alluded to above re "pitch n putt" it's all about short iron approach proximity and a hot putter. Steve stricker and the likes used to dance wedges around the pins at Colonial and this was why Stricks excelled here - obv he was one of the best putters around

You can take a look at the Colonial profile page from my course fit manual at the top of the preview for some hints on the course fit angle and potential ones to watch but it's last year's headline tip here Ryan Palmer that really grabs attention at opening quotes of 70/1 and above. Ryan is a member here and the absolute definition of a course specialist. He probably gains over a shot a round here vs the field through course experience alone. He takes optimal lines with the driver, knows all the breaks in the greens and also talks about playing the course repeatedly and knowing how to adapt under all different kinds of conditions. His caddy also is a course expert.

The last one I want to mention here though to try and keep the long odds heater going is JT Poston who I refer to in the Title. Yeah it's not Justin Thomas! Take a look at what I tweeted about Poston earlier in the week...


NEW: my book "ANGLES & EDGES" is out, covering everything in 15 years of golf betting & beating the markets - Take a look:


   

Note: All weekly course fit numbers can be computed using my course fit profiling manual below. All my weekly selections and ratings are bred using my  Course fit and player profiling manual Ebook which you can check out in detail or buy through the link... Player and course profiles in the eBook also supply data you can use to plug into my interactive course fit ratings model at the bottom of this website

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.