NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

BRITISH MASTERS RANKINGS, RATINGS AND COURSE INfO

Below are my top 25 vs the field rankings and ratings for the British Masters, taking place at the Brabazon course at the Belfry, starting early on Wednesday. Further down I have all relevant course information for the Belfry and a heads up on a few fancies this week. My tissue odds (below) are compiled generally late Sunday or early on Monday's  / before the actual markets are made or settle

British Masters Top 25 vs the field rankings

British Masters - The Belfry course Information....


My new book on golf betting: "ANGLES & EDGES" (click link) is now available to buy. Now Available on amazon (print and Kindle)


The Brabazon course is a tightish treelined parklands with twisty fairways. Emphasis is on tee to green and keeping the ball in play. Premium will be on iron play and proximity to the hole from approaches. I expect the scoring to be pretty low.  

 The Belfry course profile from my manual

Last year this track hosted the UK Championship in bad weather, and despite strong winds in stretches the scoring was relatively decent given the rain softening the greens. I have the surfaces down as bentgrass in my course fit profiling manual but I think they might be a cross between Poa and creeping bentgrass, I'm not sure on that one and the European tour website is an absolute bag of sh!te in this day and age re course information

KEY METRICS AND PREMIUMS AT THE BELFRY
Click the model image to use interactive version of it

Sam Horsfield is the guy I like at the top end of the market at around 20/1 each way. Taking the extra places on this type of price re Sam in this kind of field will often yield a freeroll. I don't feel there's a lot between Sam, MacIntyre and Kaymer in the battle for favouritism here.

At the other end of the scale I like the quotes as high as 200/1 EW on Robin Sciot-Siegrist. He is showing progressive form now of t22, t12 on the Canary Islands swing and has a lot of potential which is already proven at Challenge Tour level. He won on a similar style track at Galgorm Castle. A fast start for Siegrist here wouldn't be a surprise and he is 125/1 ew in the 1st round leader market or 7/1 top 20 if you prefer the sub markets. He actually opened 250 ew 1/5th 10 places with the this week's host  - Betfred.......

See my:

New golf betting book "ANGLES & EDGES" - Click here for details/order 

Course fit player and course profiling manual - Click here for details

Nicspicks' members email list - Join here

Please note: all weekly Euro/PGA tour tips, advice and sub market plays are available through my  members mailing list 

   

Note: All weekly course fit numbers can be computed using my course fit profiling manual below. All my weekly selections and ratings are bred using my  Course fit and player profiling manual Ebook which you can check out in detail or buy through the link... Player and course profiles in the eBook also supply data you can use to plug into my interactive course fit ratings model at the bottom of this website

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.