2021 Players Championship Tips - Patrick Cantlay to thrive in expected conditions?

It's the Players championship in a March slot again this year and that means a different type of tourney to the usual summers at Sawgrass. The 2019 edition and the first round from 2020 will give you an idea of what to expect this week, where the big boys may indeed have an advantage. My Players Championship odds chart with rankings and selected course fit numbers is below...scroll further down for relevant course information

Update on my book on golf betting is that it's almost ready for publication in PDF eBook version. Paperback print version to follow maybe next month. I've really been enjoying writing it over the last year or so and I'm covering all areas of the game and the golf betting markets. If interested keep an eye out - you can download the online version straight away after release.

As always you can get my weekly PGA and European Tour selections direct by email through the members mailing list - click here. It doesn't take a lot to join

Players Championship Odds Chart

Keep scrolling down for Players Championship course information below...

Nicspicks eBook - click image for details

The Players championship is in an unfamiliar march slot and conditions are expected to play much softer. It's a different track to when it's played in the summer.

(Click the model screenshot to use the interactive version)
Webb Simpson's TPC Sawgrass course fit rating

The course fit profiling model image above shows Webb Simpsons course fit rating for Sawgrass and the premiums and key metrics this week for the TPC sawgrass course in question. The weekly course fit numbers and various course key metrics can be attained every week via my course fit profiling manual   shown above

Below is the course and event profile for TPC Sawgrass and TPC from my manual

Winning Golf Betting Tips:

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.