WGC Workday Championship Tips - Short game specialists the theme

New venue this week for the WGC Workday Championship where Patrick Reed will defend. Chapultepec's loss is the Concession golf club's gain and this is the first time we will be seeing the Jack Nicklaus / Tony Jacklin designed track. My top 20 vs the field rankings, estimated fair odds and progressive form ratings for the WGC Workday Championship are in the odds chart image below.

As always you can get my weekly PGA and European Tour selections direct by email through the members mailing list - click here. Last week we crushed it at the Genesis with a monopoly of the leaderboard. It doesn't take a lot to join up.

WGC Workday Championship Odds Chart

No course fit numbers this week as the Concession club is new to me and there would be some guesswork involved. It looks like a hybrid type track with some heathland/parkland and linksy vibes to it. As with all Nicklaus courses, landing areas should be wide enough with emphasis on the second shot. Short game looks to be paramount this week with the small severely sloping greens with run offs, and bunkering the challenge. Par 5s are said to be the toughest holes on the track, similar to another Florida track in Innisbrook/ Copperhead. Expect some wind to get up. 

For this reason I love the likes of Cameron smith and Matt Fitzpatrick who are both overpriced. Keep an eye out aswell for Christiaan Bezuidenhout at a big price.... the weekly course fit numbers can be attained every week via my course fit profiling manual   shown below

Nicspicks eBook - click image for details

Christiaan Bezuidenhout player profile from my course fit manual

Winning Golf Betting Tips:

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.