2021 Genesis Invitational Tips - Ball Striking faders to the fore

Justin Thomas has a course fit rating of the elusive 10.0 for Riviera at the Genesis Invitational. 

Justin Thomas profile from my manual

It's all about tee to green prowess at Riviera. Last man standing from tee to green grand national type event. Ball striking faders is the profile for the Genesis Invitational, preferably of the long variety. Experience counts for a lot at the Riv. Tony Finau and Victor Hovland are the perfect profile. 

Scroll down further for my Genesis Invitational odds chart containing all the rankings and ratings...

Course information and key metrics / premiums

The course fit model screenshot below shows the premiums and key metrics for Riviera. It shows Justin Thomas' stats plugged in and his course fit rating of 10.0

Click the model image to use the interactive version yourself

Course info and profile from my course fit profiling manual

Nicspicks eBook - click image for details
The odds chart below shows various rankings, ratings and fair odds estimations to 100% for the Genesis Invitational. The course fit numbers can be attained every week via my course fit profiling manual . The guys highlighted in green are the strongest value vs the bookmaker odds for the Genesis Invitational

Genesis Invitational Odds Chart

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

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  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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