Abu Dhabi Championship and American Express Odds, Rankings and Course Info

What's up Doc? Redman the play in the Amex, while Rasmus is the value in Abu Dhabi

The Odds and rankings and relevant course info for both the American Express and the Abu Dhabi championship are below. Click the screenshot of the spreadsheet to go to the odds.

Reminder that my course fit and player profiling manual 2021 is now revised and updated and ready to go. There has been a load of work put into manual over the last year or so and there's a ton of information and data for both the European Tour and PGA Tour betting contained in it. The players stats are 90% derived from the official stats.  If you'd like to order it or read more details about it, you can do so by clicking the buttons or image below.


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New: 40 profiles added, ability rankings added. Stats updated


Scroll down for odds charts , rankings / spreadsheet...... 

Abu Dhabi Target player profile: 

Strong total driving and greens in regulation generally gets it done at Abu Dhabi GC. Conditions can change from year to year so pay close attention to course playability closer the off 

The course: Abu Dhabi GC, par 72 7,583 yards
 
Key features
Pristine fairways. Generally thick rough tee to green. Sandy / bush areas for the errant. Lots of water hazards for the sprayers. Mixture of tight lies (front) / thick fibre or deep bunkering around the greens.

Premium On: Strokes gained: tee to green. Long and straight with the driver and control of flight with the irons is the concoction for success at Abu Dhabi GC Lots of birdies available but lots of big numbers await for stray shots....
Course fit ratings are attainable using the manual

American Express target player profile: 
 It's simple, fire at the pins and smoke up that putter. No fans this year and non Pre-am format so the set up will be more difficult. The Nicholas Tournament course and the Stadium course play host.. Some of the purest greens on the schedule here. Risk/Reward theme. 

The courses TPC Stadium Course at PGA West, 7,113 yards, par 72 Nicklaus tournament: par 72, 7,159 yards 

Key features:
Pure, straight greens. Easy pin positions. Risk/reward theme with water / sandy area trouble, but landing areas generally open. Sparse rough. Island green 17th on Pete Dye stadium course, similar to Sawgrass. Deepest bunker / sandy area ever on 16th on Stadium. 

Premium on: 
Total birdies, Putting from 5-15 and 10-25 feet, aggressive approach proximity
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting



Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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