NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

2021 Sentry Tournament Of Champions Tips, Odds and Rankings


Click the spreadsheet image to see my odds and rankings for the Sentry tournament of Champions on the Plantation Course at Kapalua. All relevant Course information and tips are below
 

Course fit numbers are available using my course fit and player profiling manual. You can click on the image of my course fit profiling model below to use the interactive model. The screenshot shows the premiums for the Plantation Course at Kapalua



Sentry Tournament Of Champions - Kapalua

Sentry tournament of champions target player profile:

The Plantation course at Kapalua is one of the longest and widest courses on tour where power players come to the fore. Big elevation changes leave some blind shots into large undulating greens so a tidy short game is also a prerequisite. Xander Schauffele circled his way to a final round -11 in the 2019 Sentry Tournament of champions, and blue numbers will be the brief. Over aggression from approaches is not the way to go at Kapalua

The course

Plantation Course at Kapalua - par 73, 7,518 yards.

Chicken nugget: The course has seen renovations this year but I don't expect it to play much differently. Hole lengths will be altered to compensate for winds.

Key features:
undulating terrain with elevation changes. Large undulating greens that need you to work the ball into rather than take out the pins. Trade winds. Very tricky surfaces to putt on from close range. Generous landing areas.

Premium on:


Strokes gained off the tee. Par breakers. Working the slopes on approaches is an advantage on the Plantation course.


Nicspicks Ebook - click image for details

My player profiling and course fit manual above supplies all the data for the top players across the European and PGA Tours. It lists all the metrics and weightings for the various courses. Using this data you can plug the numbers into the interactive model above and get an accurate course fit rating for whatever player on whatever course

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.