Andalucia Masters and Tour Championship Tips - Kaymer set to strike

Martin Kaymer a course specialist at Valderrama

Not too much interest for me this week. The Tour championship has become a bit farcical from a betting perspective with the handicap system and the books focusing on this for their main markets. The European Tour markets the last few weeks look like they've been put together using a random number generator. Five players opened at 14/1 for the Andalucia Masters and there are ten players 25s and under in a B grade Euro event.

Below I've churned out ratings, profiles and course fit numbers for 3 players I like at the Andalucia Masters, and 1 standout play from the Tour championship:

The course premium key metric weightings for Valderrama and the Andalucia Masters are below in the screenshot from my course fit model. If you want to try this model yourself it's interactive and at the bottom of this page/website. It's a very simple model born from logic and common sense. I'm not a data head

note: you can insert these weightings in the course fit model at the bottom of the webpage along with player ratings from my course fit profiling manual (or your own estimates) to get extremely accurate course fit scores

Andalucia Masters Tips

Tip 1: Martin Kaymer 14/1 EW
course fit-o-meter rating: 8.31
progressive form rating: 7.57
price value: 6
Player ability: 8.13
Overall value bet strength: 7.5

Martin Kaymer's Player profile from my course fit manual

Tip 2: Jason Scrivener 28/1 EW
course fit-o-meter rating: 8.38
progressive form rating: 9.71
price value: 7
Player ability: 7.8 (est)
Overall value bet strength: 8.22

fig above shows Scrivener's high progressive form rating

Tip 3: Soren Kjeldsen 100/1 EW
course fit-o-meter rating: 9
progressive form rating: 6.43
price value: 8
Player ability: 7.4 (est)
Overall value bet strength: 7.7

Tour championship

Note: The weekly selections and ratings are bred from my Course fit and player profiling manual Ebook which you can check out in detail or buy through the link.. see Kjeldsen course fit rating below

Tip 1: Kevin Kisner 33/1 EW (best 72 hole score market)
course fit-o-meter rating: 8.7
progressive form rating: 10
price value: 7.5
Player ability: 8.17
Overall value bet strength: 8.6

screenshot above shows Kisners Progressive form rating

screenshot above shows Soren Kjeldsen's course fit rating for Valderrama


Recent Big Winners: Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1
Winning golf betting tip? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Golf Betting Tips: Profiling Manual