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Rocket Mortgage Classic Golf Betting Tips - Fowler To Blast Off in Detroit




Rickie Fowler looks overpriced at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on a Detroit golf course that fits his game

This is the 2nd edition of the Rocket Mortgage Classic - a low scoring birdie fest won with a blitzing by Nate Lashley last year on a score of minus 25. The field is the 1st since the restart that has been thinned out, and the market is a potentially exploitable one.

Hopefully the leaderboard won't be so bunched as the last few weeks. The course is a more straightforward test than the 3 tricked up renewals we've seen on the new schedule, and Bryson is now a worthy favourite on a track where we will get to see the real benefit of his new power off the tee. Dustin Johnson won at a big price (relatively speaking) and I'm looking to attack this angle here with top names supposedly out of form a little bit inflated in the market.

Note: I've posted my Rocket Mortgage top 20 vs the field odds over on my new Patreon Platform which provides extra exclusive content to supporters - check it out

Rocket Mortgage Classic Target player profile: Big hitting birdie maker familiar with Donald Ross designs


The course: Detroit Golf Club (North course), Par 72, 7,335 yards

Key Features

Tall pines frame the fairways, some short par 4s, rough should be thicker along fairways this year. Donald Ross designs incorporate back to front sloping greens with run offs. Circa 12ft on the stimp

Greens - Pao, small - avg just over 5,000 sqft

Premium on (key metric weightings)

Driving Distance (2)
Par Breakers (3)
Par 5 performance (2)
Lag putting (1)
holing out (2)

note: you can insert these ratings in the course fit model at the bottom of the webpage along with player ratings from the manual to get course fit scores

Chicken Nuggets: JT Poston hit the record equalling low round 63 here last year (tied it with Lashley) and also went bogey free over 72 holes to win at the Donald Ross designed Sedgefield


Rocket Mortgage Classic TIPS:

The weekly selections are bred from my progressive form ratings, and player game styles from my 2020 course fit profiling manual. Click the link to check out what it's about. There is also an interactive model and a course fit / player profile section at the bottom of this website to check out.


Tip 1: Rickie Fowler 33/1 EW / FRL
(see fig. 1a below)

Player ability: 8.97 ( see manual)
Price value: 9
Progressive form rating: 5.86
Course fit-o-meter: 9.45
Overall value bet strength: 8.32

Tip 2: Tony Finau 33/1 EW / FRL

Player ability: 8.33
Price value: 7
Progressive form rating: 6.86
Course fit-o-meter: 8.65
Overall value bet strength: 7.71

Tip 3: Brandt Snedeker 66/1 EW /FRL

Player ability: 8.21
Price value: 10
Progressive form rating: 7.3
Course fit-o-meter: 7.6
Overall value bet strength: 8.28


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fig 1a: example screenshot above shows Rickie Fowler's rating from the interactive course fit profiling model at the bottom of the website - try it out yourself by scrolling down

TIPS JUG

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For best results input the ratings from my course fit profiling manual, or you can play around with your own figures