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Nicspicks Update

Hello all,

The hiatus has led to a bit of a restructure and Nicspicks is now going in a bit of a new direction. The focus over the 3 months or so of Corona downtime was the course fit profiling manual and associated model. The interactive model can be found at the bottom of the website and you can play around with it yourself or input my ratings from the manual. This is what weekly previews and tips (all free content) will be centered around. The aim is to cover most good to decent events and have 3 or so selections for each, with various ratings and bet strengths using my own methods inc my progressive form ratings and value calculators. These selections and previews will be available to all on site.

What I have done is created a Patreon blog. I've been missing a platform like this. It's brilliant for writers and creatives to help us operate independently. I can use it to add lots of extra content as and when, and it allows me to receive optional support at the same time. As always I will look for a way to make most content accessible to all, free or for the price of a pint, with extra perks re betting advice for supporters. The more it builds, the more time I can spend doing all sorts of in play content for example. I don't do a lot of weekend stuff, and twitter is shite for talking stuff through/ reasoning etc which i love rambling about.

The members mailing list will be available as ever for anyone who buys me a few pints from winning tips or advice or whatever and Patreon is more an alternative for keen followers I suppose. Check it out. The email contains all weekly tips, advice and sub market plays and flags

I'm loving the new structure and focus of the previews and hope to make the model and course fit manual and strength ratings the theme of my Nicspicks brand yearly. The ebook thing is a route I'm exploring with ideas in mind.

We have the Charles Schwab Challenge preview and selections already up on the blog

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.