Golf Betting Tips: Charles Schwab Challenge - Ryan fits the bill

Ryan Palmer will be practising hard at colonial when the golf clubs open up and he'll have an even bigger edge than usual on the field at the charles Schwab Challenge

Tags: Charles Schwab Challenge tips, Charles schwab Challenge, Charles Schwab golf betting tips

The PGA Tour is set to come back mid June (11th) at Colonial Country Club for the Charles Schwab Challenge. One man will be licking his lips at that more than most and it's home man and course specialist Ryan Palmer. Palmer has a massive edge here year in year out at the Charles Schwab Challenge and it shows.

He knows the sight lines off the tee and where to attack and when to play safe. He knows the greens and winds at every time of the year. In 2020 with all the guys out of competitive practice before the event, Palmer will be practising and honing his game at Colonial CC and this is a strong betting angle worth looking at ahead of the restart.

There should be plenty of value angles at the Charles Schwab Challenge with a strong field assembled, but many of them haven't been playing, and Colonial is a great track to find out players who are not sharp. There have been mini tours in action in the last month or so and a number of pros have been playing competitively. I'm expecting a strange leaderboard after 72 holes of play at the Charles Schwab Challenge, with some elite players missing the cut, and lesser names in contention down the Sunday stretch.

Charles Schwab Challenge Target Player Profile: Accurate tee to green with a hot flat stick over the four days gets the job done at Colonial

The course:

Colonial Country Club par 70, 7,209 yards

key features:

Treelined classic parkland track. Very tight with overhanging trees both sides of the fairway and getting tighter. Small greens protected by bunkering, with very narrow entrances, and false fronts.

Greens: Bentgrass (smooth)
Fibre: Bermuda (variable depth yearly)

Premium on (key metric weightings)

Driving accuracy (3)
Irons (2)
Proximity to the hole (approach) (3)
Holing out (3)
Par breakers (2)
Wind play (2)


The weekly selections are bred from my progressive form ratings and
2020 course fit profiling manual

Tip 1: Ryan Palmer 80/1 EW / 1st round leader

This is Ryan Palmer's rating from the interactive course fit profiling model at the bottom of the website

Player ability: 8 (manual rating)
Price value: 7
Progressive form rating: 7.3
Course fit-o-meter: 8.4

Overall value bet strength: 7.7 /10

Click here to get up to £100 in free bets on Ryan Palmer & Abraham Ancer - T&Cs apply

Tip 2: Abraham Ancer EW 80/1 / 1st round leader

This is Abraham Ancer's rating from the interactive course fit profiling model at the bottom of the website ↓↓↓

Player ability: 7.8
Price value: 9
Progressive form rating: 7.86
Course fit-o-meter: 7.83

Overall value bet strength: 8.12/10

Tip 3: Tom Hoge 150/1 EW/ FRL

Player ability: 7.77
Price value: 9.5
Progressive form rating: 8
Course fit-o-meter: 8.26

Overall (value) bet strength: 8.4/10

There are a number of players in the 3 figure zone with high course fit ratings that are worth getting onside this week. Two of note are Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson. No idea what Stricks has been up to but he is a course specialist who rates a 9.2 on my course fit model. The manual also points to the likes of Brian Stuard who likes a fast start. Zach is a serious bet this week for me in different markets. I'm not interested in backing shorter prices this week - prefer a watching brief, and I'm actually expecting quite a random looking leaderboard. Will have an FRL / sub market angle post up on my Patreon platform in the week with a number of persons of interest.

Please note that all tips, advice and sub market plays are available through the
members mailing list. The tips on site are free but there's an optional "buy me a beer" link below. As an alternative, You can also follow and support me on Patreon and all support is very much appreciated.

Click here to get up to £100 in free bets on Ryan Palmer & Abraham Ancer - T&Cs apply

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

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