Trades and betting angle for the API

I'm not usually one for early weather forecasts or reports but it does seem fairly certain that the AM wave will see a significant advantage at Bay Hill this year. Bay Hill is a course that generally plays significantly softer in the AM and with winds set to double up to 20mph at times later in the day, the early starters are the focus. It's usually cold early doors and the ball doesn't travel as far so targeting the longer hitters is the way forward. Run offs around the Bay Hill greens will make it very tough for players approaching the surfaces in strong winds. Another thing to note for this reason is that up to 40% of approaches here regularly are played from over 200 yards.

Rather than the usual 3 to trade, I'm going to put up 5 players and also suggest
>> backing them EW in the 1st round leader market (click link)

The 5 players I'm trading on Betfair are:

>> Charl Schwartzel 120.00
>> Maverick McNealy 160.00
>> Harold Varner 250.00
>> Sam Burns 500.00
>> Danny Lee 440.00

All are from the early wave and as well as potential trades on Betfair I'm on EW in the 1st round leader markets. As always I generally start looking at laying some back after 18 and mainly through 36 and 54 holes if any are going well

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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