Three to trade: Outsiders who could go well in Oman and at Honda



This week on the outsiders to trade column I have three pretty confident fancies at Honda (IE: confident enough 1 can get in contention at some stage), and in Oman, maybe 3 more of the fliers type, but with potential for big odds swings. Scroll down for picks and market snippets.....

Note: We are making these weekly trading column plays on Betfair - click this link to open an account if new. To know more about the concept of golf trading and the particular steps to this method, see my back to lay guide here.

The 3 to trade on Betfair for Honda are: >> Johnny Vegas 95.00, Bud cauley 90.00, Luke List 120.00 (click link)





The 3 to trade on Betfair for Oman are: >> Jorge Campillo 80.00, Zander Lombard 95.00, Wilco Nienaber 260.0 (click link)



As usual we will be using 36 holes as a guide for an exit point, and £20 stakes as an example for everyone - you can scale down or scale up in stakes and I advise trading anywhere between 18 and 54 holes as is your own style. Login or Create A Betfair Account Through this link if you want to follow the plays. Claim the free £20 bet to trial it. Good luck if you're beginning in golf trading


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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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