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Three to trade for the WGC Mexico at GC de Chapultepec

Another quiet week last week. This is the norm. The trick is to try minimise your liabilities when things don't go so well, which for example as I tweeted as an update, you could have exited for 60% of your total liability back at the half way stage of Riv if you so chose. That was when none of the 5 plays really ever challenged. You keep it ticking over this way when backing very long odds, then wait for the good weeks to strike - like Lucas Herbert in Dubai, or week 1 where we had the semi monopoly in 2 events at halfway. Scroll on for this week's plays...

Note: We are making these weekly trading column plays on Betfair - click this link to open an account if new. To know more about the concept of golf trading and the particular steps to this method, see my back to lay guide here.

Looking at the WGC this week, and given the links with European themes and courses like Crans Sur Sierre and Olgiata, a few players jumped out. Larrazabal says Chapultepec is like an old European style parklands. Ewen Murray mentioned at the Italian Open last year that Olgiata GC reminded him visually of Chapultepec and I remember nodding my head in agreement when he spoke about it on comms. Bernd Wiesberger and Matt Fitzpatrick were the 1 and 2 there and Fitz has won twice in Crans-Montana at altitude. Branden Grace is the other player and form at what is a very specific test for me is huge. None of the 3 have any real course form so I prefer to bet them more speculatively at inflated prices

Anyway the plan is to back the following players on Betfair: Branden Grace 220.0, Bernd Wiesberger 190.0 and Matt Fitzpatrick 60.00 and see how things are looking at halfway (as a guide). I've doubled the usual stake on Fitzpatrick. (£20s as a guide, so £40 on him)

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