Three to trade: Outsiders for Abu Dhabi and the American Express

The three to trade is a new feature focusing on outsiders that could go well in the golf events. If new to the concept, for more on golf trading and backing / laying, see my simple how to: trading golf guide. Scroll down for this week's plays....

Last week was a very good week in the three to trade feature: Using the usual half way stage as a guide we saw circa a 3x division in JC Ritchie, Zach Johnson and Andrew Putnam's odds, while Sam Horsfield went from 70.00 - > 10.00 after 36 holes...

To get involved in these plays, Log in to your Betfair account, or if you're a new player:
>> Open your Betfair account (clink link)

The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship three to trade will be:
Big George Coetzee 120.0
Gavin Green Jacket 170.0
Sean Crocker 460.0

In the American Express we will be trading the following players if going well:
Aaron Wise: 110.0
Talor Gooch: 170.0
Peter Malnati: 340.0

If you're a new player, You can Follow my suggested trades by clicking the links/images: >> open a Betfair account

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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