Golf Betting: Australian PGA Championship Tips - Smith going for three-peat

Adam Scott leads the Australian charge at the PGA, but it's Cameron smith going for 3 in a row at Royal Pines

Australian PGA Championship tips guide

Australian PGA Championship target player profile:

We are looking for a player with strong "total driving" ability, who is efficient in the wind, and who owns a good touch on and around the greens at Royal Pines

The course: Royal Pines Resort, Queensland, par 72, 7,364 yards

Key features:

Large undulating elevated greens with run offs. Pure surfaces. Treelined track but you can get a shot if loose. Lots of water trouble from the tips and approaches. Strong par 3s. Deep greenside bunkering. Scorable par 5s.

Premium on:

Total driving, strokes gained around the green.

Australian PGA Championship top 10 vs the field rankings
(estimated win odds to 100% fair book)

1. Adam Scott 8/1
2. Cameron Smith 10/1
3. Cameron champ 16/1
4. Ryan Fox 20/1
5. Jason Scrivener 20/1
6. Min Woo Lee 25/1
7. Lucas Herbert 25/1
8. Calum Hill 28/1
9. Brad Kennedy 30/1
10. Wade Ormsby 33/1

Australian PGA Championship Key metric leaders

Strokes gained around the green leaders European Tour 2018

Oddschecker market movers

Australian PGA Championship tips

Keep scrolling down for my big odds outsider fancies...

Featured tip: Min woo Lee 35/1 ew. The home man was the longest hitter on the European tour this season, interestingly enough just ahead of compatriot Ryan Fox who is also fancied at this week's Australian PGA championship. Royal Pines looks to be a track Min Woo could do some damage on with his long hitting and his birdie making ability (11th). The Aussie is a bit hit or miss at the moment with a t6 and t3 finish sandwiched between a MC and a t63 and looks decent value in present company. MWL sits 4th in SG:ATG.

Australian PGA Championship Tip 2: Lucas Herbert 40/1 ew
Australian PGA Championship Tip 3: Ryan Fox 28/1 ew
Australian PGA Championship Tip 4: Dimi Papadatos 90/1 ew

Will be backing all 4 in Australian PGA Championship 1st round leader ew market too and it's profit if 1 just places at best prices

Betfair Offer: Betfair Sportsbook go each way 1/5th 7 places on the australian PGA Championship. New players can get up to £100 in free bets on signup ...find out more

Australian PGA Championship 3 to trade

The 3 to trade features big priced rank outsiders on Betfair Exchange who may trade quite a bit lower in play. I generally look to lay back if possible between rounds 2 and 3 (19-54 holes) if any player is going well. Have a look at my how to guide on trading golf if you need to know more about the concept. The current market is below..

This week's Betfair Three to trade are: Jake McLeod, Travis Smyth and Nicolai Hojgaard and when the market settles we should see a 3 fig average on those.

Australian PGA championship Betfair market (click image to view)

Tags: Australian PGA Championship tips, golf betting tips, Australian PGA Championship betting preview


Recent Big Winners: Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1
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