WGC HSBC Championship tips, rankings and key info

WGC HSBC Champions tips - top 10 vs the field rankings
(Est. fair odds to 100%)
1. Rory McIlroy 8/1
2. Hideki Matsuyama 12/1
3. Xander schauffele 12/1
4. Justin Rose 12/1
5. Tommy Fleetwood 20/1
6. Paul Casey 20/1
7. Tony Finau 20/1
8. Sunjae Im 25/1
9. Bernd Wiesberger 25/1
10. Adam scott 28/1...

The course - Sheshan International par 72, 7,261 yards....

Key Features

Treelined track with numerous water hazards. Built on a quarry. Couple of short par 4s. Elevated greens with false fronts and deep bunkers.

If you're backing each way, Betfair Sportsbook are paying 1/5th odds EW 7 places on the WGC HSBC Champions

Premium on: Strokes gained tee to green. (Total driving and greens in regulation)

Key metrics (SG: T2G PGA Tour 2019 ( of those in HSBC Champions field)
1 1 Rory McIlroy 72 2.126 1.195 .633 .297 57
3 3 Hideki Matsuyama 91 1.487 .381 .759 .347
4 4 Adam Scott 63 1.483 .285 .846 .351 44
6 6 Paul Casey 79 1.453 .614 .706 .133 55
7 7 Byeong Hun An 80 1.402 .351 .420 .631 61
9 9 Corey Conners 90 1.196 .653 .665 -.123 69
11 11 Xander Schauffele 77 1.149 .456 .481 .211

HSBC Champions tips - Please note that these are selected tips. Full portfolio of tips available from Nicspicks premium members mailing list only, where Brandon Stone featured at 100/1 last week.

He said: "I enjoy this course. It feels like it suits my eye of the tee and you can take advantage of a couple of those par fives out there if you hit good tee shots" - Bernd Wiesberger

Bernd Wiesberger 33/1 has the ideal course fit profile for Sheshan and has proven his suggested liking for the course with 17-35-9 finishes. The Austrian has won 3 times this season on comeback from injury and was on the podium last time out on a real ball strikers track in Italy. He won on a big hitters course at Renaissance in Scotland earlier in the year. He ranks 25th in strokes gained approach and 18th in Greens in reg on the ET this season.

Keegan Bradley 90/1 to win has been a headliner here before and comes in at a big price. Good showing last week at the Zozo including a 2nd round 63. Often flies out of the blocks. 66/1 1st round leader ew

The top Back to lay trade for the WGC HSBC Champions is Francesco Molinari at 80.00. Winner here in 2010 when he and Lee Westwood ran away from the field. Molinari is a little longer and less accurate than he was then but he is simmering at the moment and it's an ideal track for the Italian to get himself into contention. The plan would be to look at drip laying Molinari on the exchange between hole 18 and 54 should he feature......

See the HSBC Champions Betfair Market.......

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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