Portugal Masters Tips, Rankings and Key Info
Portugal Masters top 10 vs the field rankings
(Est. fair odds to 100%)
1. Matt Wallace 14/1
2. Lucas Bjerregaard 18/1
3. Eddie Pepperell 18/1
4. Martin Kaymer 20/1
5. Jordan Smith 20/1
6. Tom Lewis 25/1
7. Ryan Fox 25/1
8. Adri Arnaus 25/1
9. Ross Fisher 28/1
10. Callum Shinkwin 28/1.......
Betfair Sportsbook are paying 1/5th odds EW 8 places on the Portugal Masters
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The course: Dom Pedro Victoria resort course, par 71, yards 7191
Target player profile: Aggressive Bomber who makes a lot of birdies
Key features Resort style course: Large undulating greens. Exposed. Water Hazards. Rough will be up (Bermuda) more than previous editions.
Chicken nuggets: The Oceanico Resort course has seen significant changes since last season with a much tougher test possibly in store. Changes may not affect play this season as much as in seasons ahead but trees have been added to try and lessen the bomber advantage on the Victoria track. Bermuda rough along fairways and around greens should see a stiffer test and they are looking to make conditions a little faster and firmer but given the time of year that remains to be seen.
Premium on: Bombers have a huge advantage around this track. An advantage on par with the biggest hitters on the PGA Tour at Doral, in that they can carry doglegs and trouble / hazards, and be left with short irons into large undulating greens, (despite changes, including new trees) implemented for the 2019 Portugal Masters edition). Proximity to the hole. Par breakers.
Course correlation: Albatross Golf Resort (exact match), Blue Monster at Doral
Key metrics leaders (those in field)
Strokes gained off the tee
Callum Shinkwin
Adri Arnaus
Min Woo Lee
Matthew Southgate
Guido Migliozzi
Joel Girrbach
Jordan Smith
Driving distance
Min Woo Lee
Ryan fox
Dean Burmester
Callum shinkwin
Tapio Pulkannen
Total Birdies
Sam Horsfield
Min woo Lee
Matt Wallace
Martin Kaymer
George Coetzee
Course specialists: Tom Lewis, Lucas Bjerregaard, Alex Levy
Portugal Masters tips
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The top Back to lay trade is Min Woo Lee at 100.00. As you can see he has the perfect profile for the Dom Pedro course featuring at the top of most of the key attributes. Lee is a par breaker machine who hits it a mile, topping the driving distance stats regularly. He comes here off the back of a 6th place last time out. He also has an 8am early tee time and at 80/1 is a decent first round leader ew option
Ryan Fox 33/1 ew is possibly Min woo Lee's biggest rival in the driving distance department, and he has progressed nicely into form with two top 20s in his last two. Fox can go super low. I recall he shot in the 50s a few years ago - I think it was in practice, or on the NZ Tour. He hit 29 for the lowest back 9 in Open History this season enroute to a t16. Fox won the super 6 earlier this year and this is a great event for him to challenge strongly again. He carded a top 30 in Portugal in 2018, firing a 3rd round 64.
Portugal Masters Market - Trading strategy
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(Est. fair odds to 100%)
1. Matt Wallace 14/1
2. Lucas Bjerregaard 18/1
3. Eddie Pepperell 18/1
4. Martin Kaymer 20/1
5. Jordan Smith 20/1
6. Tom Lewis 25/1
7. Ryan Fox 25/1
8. Adri Arnaus 25/1
9. Ross Fisher 28/1
10. Callum Shinkwin 28/1.......
Betfair Sportsbook are paying 1/5th odds EW 8 places on the Portugal Masters
(click link)
The course: Dom Pedro Victoria resort course, par 71, yards 7191
Target player profile: Aggressive Bomber who makes a lot of birdies
Key features Resort style course: Large undulating greens. Exposed. Water Hazards. Rough will be up (Bermuda) more than previous editions.
Chicken nuggets: The Oceanico Resort course has seen significant changes since last season with a much tougher test possibly in store. Changes may not affect play this season as much as in seasons ahead but trees have been added to try and lessen the bomber advantage on the Victoria track. Bermuda rough along fairways and around greens should see a stiffer test and they are looking to make conditions a little faster and firmer but given the time of year that remains to be seen.
Premium on: Bombers have a huge advantage around this track. An advantage on par with the biggest hitters on the PGA Tour at Doral, in that they can carry doglegs and trouble / hazards, and be left with short irons into large undulating greens, (despite changes, including new trees) implemented for the 2019 Portugal Masters edition). Proximity to the hole. Par breakers.
Course correlation: Albatross Golf Resort (exact match), Blue Monster at Doral
Key metrics leaders (those in field)
Strokes gained off the tee
Callum Shinkwin
Adri Arnaus
Min Woo Lee
Matthew Southgate
Guido Migliozzi
Joel Girrbach
Jordan Smith
Driving distance
Min Woo Lee
Ryan fox
Dean Burmester
Callum shinkwin
Tapio Pulkannen
Total Birdies
Sam Horsfield
Min woo Lee
Matt Wallace
Martin Kaymer
George Coetzee
Course specialists: Tom Lewis, Lucas Bjerregaard, Alex Levy
Portugal Masters tips
Join the Nicspicks premium mailing list to access all tips
The top Back to lay trade is Min Woo Lee at 100.00. As you can see he has the perfect profile for the Dom Pedro course featuring at the top of most of the key attributes. Lee is a par breaker machine who hits it a mile, topping the driving distance stats regularly. He comes here off the back of a 6th place last time out. He also has an 8am early tee time and at 80/1 is a decent first round leader ew option
Ryan Fox 33/1 ew is possibly Min woo Lee's biggest rival in the driving distance department, and he has progressed nicely into form with two top 20s in his last two. Fox can go super low. I recall he shot in the 50s a few years ago - I think it was in practice, or on the NZ Tour. He hit 29 for the lowest back 9 in Open History this season enroute to a t16. Fox won the super 6 earlier this year and this is a great event for him to challenge strongly again. He carded a top 30 in Portugal in 2018, firing a 3rd round 64.
Portugal Masters Market - Trading strategy
Free £20 matched bet on Betfair through this link on signup (click link)
Tags: Portugal Masters Tips, Golf betting tips
Follow @NicsPicks
