In-play Diary: Safeway Open
Update: Just some thoughts going into the final day at the Dunhill Links and the Safeway as the leaders are about to get out at ST. Andrews.
Firstly, Adam Hadwin - 1 of 3 in play trades below post r1 - now trades at 11.00 on Betfair in the Safeway Open. I exited fully for around a 40-50% liability after what wasn't a great round 2 for me. The big boys are coming to the front and Thomas at 7.60 and Collin Morikawa at 13.50 look decent plays. We have Chez Reavie in the running as a pre event ew selection.
You can see an interesting looking Dunhill Links market here (click link) where Tony Finau trades at 7.00 and Lagergren at 13.00. With the possibility of Southgate and Perez at the front coming unstuck, this is where the value lies for me. Lagergren had the event history trend in his favour leading into this event, while big Tony is rumoured to have shot 58 in practice at ST. Andrews earlier in the week.
You can get 7/2 by dutching Finau and Lagergren
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I'm going to try and get an in-play back-to-lay trading column going throughout the rest of the season. An angle I've been experimenting with for a while and one that looks to have a sustainable edge is backing longer odds guys near the front of the market after day 1 and looking to lay before final day play.
The players I'm targeting this week at the Safeway Open are:
Corey Conners 34.00 on the exchange
Adam Hadwin 40.00
Adam Long 44.00
If we use a dutching calculator, we can set it up for a combined fixed odds play at around 12/1. To do this you would place the following on each (to an example £100 stake):
Hadwin - £32.41
Conners - £38.13
Long - £29.46
If you're new to Betfair backing/laying and fancy giving this or future advised trades a try, new customers can get a Free £20 matched bet through this link (aff)
To learn more about how to trade on Betfair, you can read my strategy article here
You can see all new customer offers here (click link)
Firstly, Adam Hadwin - 1 of 3 in play trades below post r1 - now trades at 11.00 on Betfair in the Safeway Open. I exited fully for around a 40-50% liability after what wasn't a great round 2 for me. The big boys are coming to the front and Thomas at 7.60 and Collin Morikawa at 13.50 look decent plays. We have Chez Reavie in the running as a pre event ew selection.
You can see an interesting looking Dunhill Links market here (click link) where Tony Finau trades at 7.00 and Lagergren at 13.00. With the possibility of Southgate and Perez at the front coming unstuck, this is where the value lies for me. Lagergren had the event history trend in his favour leading into this event, while big Tony is rumoured to have shot 58 in practice at ST. Andrews earlier in the week.
You can get 7/2 by dutching Finau and Lagergren
...............................................................
I'm going to try and get an in-play back-to-lay trading column going throughout the rest of the season. An angle I've been experimenting with for a while and one that looks to have a sustainable edge is backing longer odds guys near the front of the market after day 1 and looking to lay before final day play.
The players I'm targeting this week at the Safeway Open are:
Corey Conners 34.00 on the exchange
Adam Hadwin 40.00
Adam Long 44.00
If we use a dutching calculator, we can set it up for a combined fixed odds play at around 12/1. To do this you would place the following on each (to an example £100 stake):
Hadwin - £32.41
Conners - £38.13
Long - £29.46
If you're new to Betfair backing/laying and fancy giving this or future advised trades a try, new customers can get a Free £20 matched bet through this link (aff)
To learn more about how to trade on Betfair, you can read my strategy article here
You can see all new customer offers here (click link)
