Masters day 2 in-play trading

Two names stand out for me on the leaderboard as good potential back to lay trading opportunities. Rickie Fowler(27.0) and Jason Day(60.0) both got off to poor starts yesterday (each +2 at one stage) but rallied to finish -4 and -2 respectively. Day did reach -3 but posted a round of 70 after dropping a shot at the last while Fowler's round included two doubles.

With conditions expected to be soft today and winds forecasted, this could suit both players. Aussie Jason Day is well used to the wind from courses in his homeland while Rickie showed us at the Open a few years back how he could control his ball flight in gusty conditions and said he enjoys the test. What's more, both are very aggressive players in the same mould who like to fire at pins, and with greens more receptive, both have the potential to throw a low one in over Friday or Saturday.

Trading plan: Place 3.5 units on Rickie Fowler and 1.5 units on Jason Day at 27.0 and 60.0 on Betfair. Lay back 5 units if either hits 8.0 and look to trade out after round three if one or both are in the mix.

Please note that this strategy should be used only as a guide, you have the option of trading whenever suits your own style.
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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