It's the calm after the storm following the Ryder Cup as we move into the Fall Series on the PGA Tour and head to JT's Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Many of the big names sit out this part of the calender as the lesser players look to secure their cards or for that maiden victory. This period has been one of the more exploitable for me down the years, with the events more wide open, form hidden away from the stats and with big perceived outsiders holding just as much of a chance at claiming victory as some of the market leaders
TPC Summerlin is the venue for the JT Shriners Hospitals For Children Open, a course annually ranked as one of the easiest on tour. The 7,243 yard layout leaves some room for maneuver for the bombers off the tee while large greens make them pretty easy to hit; however, most are guarded by bunkers and some are elevated, so miss them and pay the price. Premium this week at the JT Shriners Hospitals For Children Open will be on putting and birdie making, as low scoring is expected once again at TPC Summerlin.
JT Shriners Hospitals For Children Open Picks
Pick #1: Kyle Stanley ew @ 50/1 (Skybet) Tenth here at the JT Shriners Hospitals For Children Open in 2011, there's something about this event and TPC Summerlin that cries Kyle Stanley. A winner earlier in the year, Stanley has returned to some decent form following a spell in the wilderness. It's the putting that's been letting him down yet he still ranks 31st in total birdies and seventh in par five birdie or better. The big hitter has the ability to overpower TPC Summerlin.
Pick #2: Troy Mattesson ew @55/1 (SJ) I pencilled in Troy as a definite on Monday night when he was priced at 70/1 with Bet365 but thanks to our friend Ben Coley (Hi Ben!) from the Betting Zone,the best we can get now is 55s. Matteson is a former winner of the JT Shriners (formerly Frys.com Open) and is in fine form having posted four top 20s in his last six, two of those in The Playoffs and most notably he sits in the top 25 for total birdies and putting from 5-15'.
Pick #3: Charlie Hoffman ew @ 75/1 (Bet365) Very surprised by Hoffman's odds this week. The Nevada resident is a perfect fit for his home event and TPC Summerlin this week and showed signs of form during the playoffs, most notably at the Deutsche Bank where he finished T26. Charley has a couple of top fifteens here in last four years including a top six in 09 and sits 15th on tour in total driving and 17th in total birdies.
Pick #4: Brendon De Jonge @ 66/1 (coral) If it's birdies we're looking for, how can I leave out Mr. consistent and the often streaky DeJonge who sits right at the top of the birdies and eagles made stat, as well as par five performance. Brendon hasn't won yet due to being one of the biggest bottlers on Tour but there's no better type of event to get over this (as Kevin Na showed last year) than a Fall Series event such as the JT Shriners Open.
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Pick #5: John Mallinger e/w @ 100/1 (general) Mallinger's last seven events read cut/ T11/ cut/ cut/ 4/ cut/ cut so to say he's inconsistent and unpredictable is an under statement. One thing for sure though is that he's a player with a lot of unfulfilled potential. Mallinger resides in Long Beach, California and will be used to playing conditions at TPC summerlin where he finished T3 in 2008 and posted a second round 62 in 09. He also finished 2nd at the Bob Hope earlier in the year, one of the tour's easier stops.
Pick #6: Andres Romero e/w @ 100/1 (general) is another falling into the theme of aggressive birdie makers. Romero can make them in bunches when he's on and he did the business for us not long ago by securing a place in another low scoring event in Reno. Andres is a regular feature at the JT Shriners Hospitals for children open down the years.
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