We were close last week with Charles Howell(40) and Chad campbell (100) both looking good for a least a place half way through their respective rounds but the duo finished a shot outside the top five. Tommy Gainey showed the volatility of the golf betting markets when coming from miles back on the final day and although I never checked, I can imagine he was matched for a few quid at the magical 1000.0 figure on Betfair. This week we hit Shanghai for the inaugural BMW Masters
The events for the golf tipster comp this week to win a free £25 bet with Stanjames are the BMW Masters and CIMB Classic - feel free to play!
Eleven of the European Ryder cup team will tee it up at the BMW Masters this week on a lengthy 7,600 yard par 72, slightly undulating and potentially difficult Lake Malaren track. With little or no course form for most of the contenders, I'm confident enough in taking on the short priced big four at the top of the market.
BMW Masters Picks - Follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks for all tips/ updates
Pick #1: Nicolas Colsaerts @ 22/1 (general) looks the perfect fit for the Lake Malaren track. Continuing on his form from the Ryder Cup during the fall series on the PGA Tour, Colsaerts is a previous winner in Asia and with Lake Malaren comprising generous fairways and rough capped at 90mm, expect him to let loose off the tee. With his finesse around the greens and confidence in his game currently, Colsaerts should challenge this week.
Pick #2: Peter Hanson ew @ 40/1 (general) I thought the days of Peter Hanson being over priced relative to the field in events of this ilk were over but apparantly not. Hanson is arguably the most improved player on tour over the last two years and he proves time and time again that he should be considered a genuine threat in big events like the BMW Masters, yet the market doesn't seem to agree. After a weekend 68-66 in India last week to post a top ten, I'll be looking to take advantage of this once more.
Pick #3: Charl Schwartzel ew @ 40/1(SB) A poor effort from Charl last week in Perth but he isn't a fan of courses where you need to shape the ball from the tee and after his exploits against Rory and Tiger the week before in the matchplay, I'm going to ignore his efforts in Australia. The length of the track at this week's BMW Masters along with the expansive landing areas will suit Schwartzel who can excel with his iron approaches (averages 12th in approaches from 125-200 yards on the PGATour in 2012) - the key to tackling many Jack Niclaus designs. 40s is simply too big relative to the market leaders.
Pick #4: Berndt Wiesberger ew @ 66/1 (Bet365) looks a very big price this week. The huge hitter, averaging over 300 yards on the European Tour from the tee this year (while hitting over 60% of fairways) is coming off the back of a top five at the Portugal Masters which, in terms of length and generosity off the tee, is very similar to course set up this week. Wiesberger is now a multiple tour winner, a genuine quality player and his game could be well suited to Lake Malaren.
BMW Masters Sleeper Watch
It's Marcel Siem and Sang Moon-Bae on the radar at this week's BMW Masters. Marcel Siem is at 150/1 ew or 125/1 ew with PP in the FRL market. Again this is a track that will suit Siem, who often flies out of the blocks and he showed signs of form in Portugal during round 2 and 3 before a poor final day. Bae tied 2nd at the CJ Invitational and came back last week at the Korea Open after an opening 79 in tough conditions to post a T11. Bae is on the radar as one of Asia's potential super stars and is available at 80/1 or 66/1 ew for FRL with Stanjames. As usual both represent potential long odds trading opportunities at 180.0 and 130.0 respectively.
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