2012 Wyndham Championship Picks

It's on to the Wyndham Championship this week where plenty of players will be battling it out to secure a coveted spot in the top 125 of the money list to guarantee their participation in the Fedex Cup Playoffs. Sedgefield CC is the venue and the familar course will be somewhat of a different challenge this year

The greens have been revamped with the surfaces now replaced with Bermuda grass and conditions are expected to be faster, firmer and tougher. As always, the premium at Sedgefield will be accuracy from the tee to leave the best approach angles into undulating greens. Follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks for in play tips and updates. Read on for picks.

In 2010, I had David Toms and Lucas Glover onside at the Wyndham Championship and I was watching live coverage throughout. These two and Brandt Snedeker all stoodout for me. Snedeker was the one I saw as the big danger to my men (even though Atwal won) as he seemed to have the measure of the course. Toms holed out on 18 from long range to get him into the clubhouse ahead of eventual winner Arjun Atwal while Glover placed seventh after slowing down a bit over the weekend but could be one to watch out for at a huge price this week for trading purposes. All three feature in this week's Wyndham Championship picks

Please note that trading my picks can be a very profitable approach (as shown by the Cabrera Bello trade the other week) - Learn more here

2012 Wyndham Championship Picks

Pick #1: Carl Pettersson ew at 20/1 (general) IMO, Pettersson should be the market leader this week off the back of a third place finish at the PGA Championship. The big Swede is a regular feature in this event, is a resident of North Carolina and a big fan of the course. Carl's win this season came on a track requiring similar attributes to what will be needed this week.

Pick #2: Tim Clark ew @ 28/1 (general) is a man returning to his best form after some terrible injury troubles. Coming into the Wyndham Championship off the back of a T15 in Canada followed by an excellent T11 at the PGA, Clark is another that knows the course well having went to College at North Carolina State. Ranking fifth in driving accuracy and eighth in proximity to the hole, Clark is a perfect fit for this track and I expect him to go well. The South African also knows how to go low, having shot the eighth lowest round on tour in 2012. Clark has propelled himself to 109 in the money list and pressure is all but off for the Wyndham Championship.

Pick #3: David Toms ew @ 33/1 (general) Another player who's just returned from some injury problems of his own and fits the Sedgefield Country Club profle to a tee is David Toms. A top five at the US Open was followed by a top ten at Bridgestone and only a poor second round at a windy Kiawah prevented him from challenging last week. Toms ranks seventh in driving accuracy and went extremely close here at the wyndham championship in 2010, narrowly missing out to Arjun Atwal.

Pick #4: Brandt Snedeker e/w @ 28/1 (general) is a lover of Donald Ross designs and as mentioned was another who looked extremely strong here in 2010, only to falter in the final stages. Brandt had the measure of the greens and although the grass has been changed to Bermuda, the quicker the better for the American who ranks fifh in strokes gained putting. Snedeker was also T5 at the Wyndham championship in 09 and should be over the disappointment of the Open Championship.

Wyndham Championship Sleeper Picks

Ryan Moore ew @ 50/1 catches the eye here. His tee to green game his strength, Moore took down the wyndham championship in 2009. A few weeks ago at the John Deere he shot four rounds in the sixties to place T8 and he looks the value man at this price.

The aforementioned Lucas Glover ew @250/1 is an absolutely huge price for the South Carolina resident. The course sets up for his game and while he's been struggling with injury this year, he's worth noting at that price. Lucas is also very eye catching at 200/1 e/w in the first round leader market and worth a small investment with a view to trading at almost 400.0 on the exchanges

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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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