The Greenbrier Classic was a very profitable tournament for Nicspicks' premium trading service last year, and one Jimmy Walker played a big part in that. Shooting a 62 in round three, Walker fired himself into contention and hit his trading target. Walker is firmly on the radar here again
Anthony Kim was another to bring in the profits that week and the Old White course at Greenbrier is very much one that can be taken advantage of by the big hitters. Conducive to very low rounds, the winning total here in 2010 was 22 under par, with Stuart Appleby firing a final round -11. Fairways, although tightened somewhat and lengthened significantly over the last two years, are relatively generous and greens are undulating; I'm looking for players who can boast big hitting coupled with good flat stick ability.
Pick #1: Jimmy Walker e/w @ 66/1 (SJ)(6 plces) As mentioned, Walker looked extremely good on this track last year at the Greenbrier Classic, eventually finishing in a tie for 4th but he looked like he'd be the man to beat until he failed to take advantage of some opportunities down the stretch. Walker has found some form at the minute and was right in the mix early doors in the AT&T last week. Ranked 49th in driving distance and 25th in putting from 5-15', Walker fits the bill here.
Pick #2: Jeff Overton e/w @ 50/1 (general) Overton, astonishingly, finished in a tie for 22nd at the AT&T last week after carding an opening round 79. This was on the back of a 13th place finish in his previous event and Overton was the man to miss out to Appleby in 2010 by just a solitary stroke. Forgiving from the tee, the Old White TPC course is well suited to Overton's game and 50's looks too big for the former Ryder Cup star.
Trading advice: Dustin Johnson should begin the event trading around 25.0. He's the name amongst the market leaders that stands out the most in terms of having the potential to see a big swing in his odds over the first two day's play. A low round from Johnson here on either day could see him trading below 6.0.
First round leader: John Daly is a man who still knows how to go low and 150/1 e/w in this market on a course that should suit the big hitting American really catches the eye. The last round Daly played on American soil this year was a 64 in the St Jude.
Open de France
Pick #3: Richie Ramsay tweeted the other day that solid ball striking is needed around Le Golf Nacional and I recall he very much enjoyed the slick greens here last year, having played much of his golf in America. T5th here in 2011 and off the back of a top 16 in Ireland, 70/1 with Bet365 is too big.
First round leader: Three players that feature strongly down the years at Le Golf Nacional are Richard Green (70), Alejandro Canizares (100) and James Morrison (100) who opened here last year with a couple of 66s. All three are showing signs of form with the latter carding a round of -8 in recent open qualifying and Canizares featuring in last week's Irish Open. All three will be at huge odds and are worth backing e/w in this market.
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