Euro 2012 Specials Betting

Tomas Rosicky is a player I have a big interest in. Back to his old self for Arsenal towards the back end of last season after an injury plagued career, Rosicky is likely to take up the forward role just behind Milan Baros for the Czechs this summer. He seems to be being totally ignored in the scorer markets.

Ladbrokes have priced up a 'to score anytime in the tournament' market and have him at a very big 5/2 - not a bad way to use your Free €50 Bet. This is more a fair reflection of the price he should be in any given group game, let alone all three (at least) combined.

Rosicky can also be backed at 12/1 to be the top Czech goalscorer which looks great value to me. He's trading close to double figures to score against Russia and a whopping 90/1 with PP to bag a brace in the opening game. He's over 10/1 in the man of the match betting and worth a look. Czechs are another underrated team.

Top Republic Of Ireland Scorer

Johnathan Walters (16/1 best price) seems to have lost out in the battle to partner Robbie Keane but don't let that put you off. Ireland are unlikely to score many and two goals could be top dog. I expect Walters to get some decent playing time from the bench if that's how it's going to be and Ireland may be chasing games by that time, meaning he may get more chances than Kevin Doyle despite Kevin playing twice as much. Great value.

Other notable double figure prices in the Individual country top scorer markets (along with Shirokov who got his own post!) are Pedro for Spain, Husev for Ukraine and Dan Agger who may benefit from set pieces for Denmark (16's). Mario Mandzukic looks a strong bet for Croatia @ 15/2 and watch out for Ninis of Greece from the bench who can be backed as big as 20/1.

For the Spread Bettors

I've mentioned my big outside fancy for the tournament is Russia. Many people believe group A will be tight but with all four teams of similar quality, expect all teams to be looking to get forward when possible. This could lead to more goals than expected. Various spread firms have quoted the Russian total goals @ 4.3-4.6 and buying this spread looks a great option. I think, at the very worst, we will see three Russian goals and if they progress, we could even see double figures - a low risk bet.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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