BMW International / Travelers Championship Picks

Near miss last week with Jim Furyk looking the man to take home his second US Open trophy but it wasn't to be. Webb Simpson backed into the title and Webb must be one of the most backed players on this blog but not this time. As always, full previews can be found later at and follow me on twitter :@Nicspicks for all the latest. Read on for picks:

Moving on, "Go low or go home" is a quote on the official PGA tour website in reference to the Travelers Championship and that is exactly what will be required this week. The winning score at TPC River Highlands is annually in double-digits under par and a quick look down the leaderboards over the years will show you that top putters and birdie makers prevail..

Travelers Championship Picks

Pick #1: Aaron Baddeley e/w @ 80/1(general) had a disaster at the US Open, hence his ridiculously big price but he wasn't the only one. Stark contrast to the week before where Baddeley finished T9 at Memorial. The point here is that the Aussie is a hit or miss player where certain courses suit and others simply don't. This week at the Travelers, where Badds posted a top 25 last year, putting is the premium and you guessed it, Baddeley ranks no. 1 on tour in strokes gained putting. Huge price.

Pick #2: Cameron Tringale e/w @ 100/1 (general) Tringale is not on anyone's radar this week for the Travelers Championship but having tipped him plenty at big prices earlier in the year and with him giving us a run for our money every time, he's ticking all the right boxes again this week: With a top 25 at Memorial, Rickie Fowler's flatmate's stats measure up for this week's event. A solid all round game, ranking 19th in total driving, 31st in strokes gained putting and 13th in total birdies, Cameron is not afraid to go low.

Both players well worth backing in the first round leader market also as is James Driscoll (100), and Patrick Cantlay (80) who shot a 60 here last year.

BMW International Open Picks

A new venue this week for the BMW International Open but plenty of form to go on as the German Masters was held at Gut Larchenhof for many a year. As with Nicklaus designs, scoring is possible if you hit fairways and greens but danger lurks if you stray. Water is prominent all over this course and expect the likes of Alvaro Quiros and other 'bombers' to be found swimming on a few occasions and they may be worth avoiding.

Pick #3: Raphael Jacquelin e/w @ 50/1 (general) Thought Mr. Jacquelin would be backed in quickly this week but all seems quiet so far on that front. 21st at the US Open following qualification in a decent field at Walton Heath, on the back of a top 20 in Wales. Raphael has declared that he is just about to peak formwise and he's posted a 3rd place finish at Gut Larchenhof before (2004).

Pick #4: David Drysdale e/w @ 90/1 (general) Drysdale is my 'under the radar' pick this week for the event but it's strange to say that given he's finished tenth and 11th in two recent big events at the BMW PGA and in Wales. For me, both courses bear similarities to this week's course where driving the ball will be key. David has a very competent all round game and may continue his form here.

A player worth noting in the first round leader market for the BMW International Open is Nicolas Fasth (125/1) ew who has a stellar record around here and has shown recent signs of a return to form of old.

If you would like to have a go at trading the golf this week, you can learn more here.

Fancy some no stress free golf bets this week? Up to £200 here.........
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship