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2011 Bridgestone Invitational Picks

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Picks
Events of the quality of the WGC Bridgestone Invitational are extremely difficult to find a winner in. This week I'll be sticking right up the top end of the market and hope to have some bonus "To shoot lowest round" picks of the non cut event if the market is being offered.

Pick 1: Rory McIlroy E/W @ 14/1 (general) McIlroy's ability off the tee is what catches the eye in a WGC Bridgestone Invitational event where driving is key. Getting it out there into good position to access difficult pin positions is vital to success and I havn't seen a better display of driving than that of McIlroy at the US Open. T9 here last year and becoming familiar with the course.

GOLF TRADING: Great start for the trial golf trading advisory service last week with a 10.5unit profit to only a 7.5unit outlay. Click link for more details. This week I'll be trading the WGC Bridgestone. Pre tournament email to be sent out Wednesday tea time. You will need a Betfair account. See a sample of one of my trading strategies here.

Pick 2: Steve Stricker E/W @ 18/1 (general) Confidence flying, putting better than ever, standout record at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational and ranking 16th in proximity to the hole on a course where approach accuracy plays a huge part, Stricker is a standout candidate. Right up there in bogey avoidance and scrambling stats.

Pick 3: Luke Donald E/W @ 20/1 (general) Record at the WGC Invitational doesn't read all that great but Donald has moved up a level this year. Along with Stricker, probably the two best putters in the world right now. Vital to stay out of the rough at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational and get as close to pins as possible with approaches and Donald ranks 38th in driving accuracy and an eye catching 6th in proximity to the hole.

Pick 4: Dustin Johnson E/W @ 22/1 (general) Ranking 5th in driving distance in a WGC Bridgestone Invitational event where big hitters have monopolised the leaderboards down the years, Johnson is off the back of a T2nd at the Open and T6 at the Nordea Masters. 15th here last year and now seems a permanent fixture on leaderboards in the big events.

Note: If you're betting E/W, take advantage of Bet365's offer up to £200 in free bets to use on this week's WGC Bridgestone Invitational.

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.