2011 Bridgestone Invitational Picks

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Picks
Events of the quality of the WGC Bridgestone Invitational are extremely difficult to find a winner in. This week I'll be sticking right up the top end of the market and hope to have some bonus "To shoot lowest round" picks of the non cut event if the market is being offered.

Pick 1: Rory McIlroy E/W @ 14/1 (general) McIlroy's ability off the tee is what catches the eye in a WGC Bridgestone Invitational event where driving is key. Getting it out there into good position to access difficult pin positions is vital to success and I havn't seen a better display of driving than that of McIlroy at the US Open. T9 here last year and becoming familiar with the course.

GOLF TRADING: Great start for the trial golf trading advisory service last week with a 10.5unit profit to only a 7.5unit outlay. Click link for more details. This week I'll be trading the WGC Bridgestone. Pre tournament email to be sent out Wednesday tea time. You will need a Betfair account. See a sample of one of my trading strategies here.

Pick 2: Steve Stricker E/W @ 18/1 (general) Confidence flying, putting better than ever, standout record at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational and ranking 16th in proximity to the hole on a course where approach accuracy plays a huge part, Stricker is a standout candidate. Right up there in bogey avoidance and scrambling stats.

Pick 3: Luke Donald E/W @ 20/1 (general) Record at the WGC Invitational doesn't read all that great but Donald has moved up a level this year. Along with Stricker, probably the two best putters in the world right now. Vital to stay out of the rough at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational and get as close to pins as possible with approaches and Donald ranks 38th in driving accuracy and an eye catching 6th in proximity to the hole.

Pick 4: Dustin Johnson E/W @ 22/1 (general) Ranking 5th in driving distance in a WGC Bridgestone Invitational event where big hitters have monopolised the leaderboards down the years, Johnson is off the back of a T2nd at the Open and T6 at the Nordea Masters. 15th here last year and now seems a permanent fixture on leaderboards in the big events.

Note: If you're betting E/W, take advantage of Bet365's offer up to £200 in free bets to use on this week's WGC Bridgestone Invitational.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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