Open De Andalucia Picks

2011 Open De Andalucia Picks:

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Pick 1: Chris Wood E/W @ 33/1 (SB) Very short course for this week's Open De Andalucia and Wood, off the back of a good tournament last week can use his total driving ability (long and straight) to his advantage.

Pick 2: Jamie Donaldson E/W @ 33/1 (general) Course form from last year's Open De Andalucia and a good performance last week as well. A player that has been very close in the last year or so without winning just like last week's winner Jacquelin and can draw inspiration.....

Pick 3: Richard Green E/W @ 35/1 (general) Takes my fancy at this week's Open De andalucia mainly for the length of the course, playing under 7,000 yards. Green's game is all about accuracy and good putting and he should feature.

Pick 4: Alejandro Canizares E/W @ 55/1 (general) All Spanish eyes will be on favs Jiminez and Quiros at the Open De Andalucia but watch out for the streaky Alejandro Canizares who returned to form last week. Fantastic putter and should get plenty of birdie opportunities on this golf course.

Pick 5: Oliver wilson E/W @ 45/1 (general) Played superbly at the Tavistock Cup last week and will maybe peak at next week's European Tour event but can't avoid such a big price.

Pick 6: Nicolas Colsaerts E/W @ 40/1 (general) Picked for the same reasons as Chris Wood, can over power the course at the Open De Andalucia and in good current form. If the putter is hot, he should be up there.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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