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Trophee Hassan Picks
Pick 1: Thomas Bjorn E/W @ 25/1 (general) In fine form this season with 1 win under his belt already. Coming back from the States after performing admirably in quality company. Pro-am format will suit for the Trophee Hassan

Pick 2: Soren Kjeldsen E/W @ 40/1 (general) Venue change for this year's Trophee Hassan and the new courses both play under 7,000 yards. Pro-am format will set the course up pretty easy and Kjeldsen is 1 of the tour's top putters and can take advantage of birdie opportunities.......

Pick 3: Rhys Davies E/W @ 50/1(Coral)Tipped Davies to win the Trophee Hassan last year on Nic's Picks and watched him destroy the field. Not in great form this season but on such short tracks and with his putting ability, it wouldn't surprise to see him up there again.

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Pick 4: Mark Foster E/W @ 66/1(B365) Very big price on a man with 3 top 20's in last 5 events culminating in a 4th place finish last week.

Pick 5: David Horsey E/W @ 75/1(B365) Following the theme of quality putters for the Trophee Hassan, David Horsey is right up there at the top of the putting stats this year. Warmed up last week with a half decent performance and he could prove a real 1 to watch this week. Short course layouts will suit his game.

Pick 6: Kenneth Ferrie E/W @ 100/1 (Betfred)Streaky Ferrie must be doing something right to shoot -10 in the third round last week and very much over priced and good E/W value / golf trading opportunity for the Trophee Hassan.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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