Arsenal v Newcastle - Walcott To Continue Form?

Arsenal look to keep their title challenge going vs Newcastle this afternoon after a disappointing midweek result against Shaktar. Theo Walcott has this week come out and said he wants to follow in Henry's footsteps at Arsenal and he's looking top quality at the moment and priced at 3.55 on Betfair to keep his scoring run going.

Expect plenty of possession for Arsenal at the Emirates today and that means plenty of tackling from who I see as the dirtiest side (on paper) in the premiership and the bookings betting markets for Newcastle will be top focus of the football tips in this game. Andrew Carroll, although he failed to score for Newcastle last week, has been in flying form and I expect his physical presence to give Arsenal a really tough time today and 5.4 on betfair looks a great outside value bet to score vs Arsenal today. Mike Dean referees this 1 and he's a referee who's not afraid to pull out his cards, including the red 1 and bluesquare offer good value odds of 13/2 on a Newcastle sending off.

Check out my first booking dutch bet in this one

Arsenal v Newcastle Football Tips:(Value Bets)
Tip 1: Newcastle bookings over 2.5 @ 10/11 ( Bet365)
Tip 2: Theo Walcott anytime scorer @ 3.55 (check lineup) (Betfair)
Tip 3: Andrew Carrol anytime scorer @ 5.4 (Betfair)
Tip 4: Sending off in match @ 9/2 (PaddyPower)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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