Share The annual build up to the year's biggest golfing event gets underway this week as the stars travel to Loch Lomond for the Barclay's Scottish Open...

A lot of Europe and America's elite will tee it up at the Barclay's Scottish Open at Loch Lomond as they warm up for next week's British Open Championship at St. Andrews. Hardly a course that will prepare them for the test ahead but most definitley a golf tournament to get the competitive juices flowing.

Looking at the market leaders in the betting, none really take my fancy (at the prices offered) for various reasons. Goosen, Els and Mickelson havn't played too much golf recently and McDowell has had a 3 week break since his triumph (Tipped antepost E/W at 100/1 for the Race To Dubai Title) at the US Open which propelled him to the top of the Race To Dubai standings. Defending champ Martin Kaymer was up there last week but anyone watching would have seen he wasn't really on his game. Instead I will be focusing mainly on the rank outsider for this week's Loch Lomond Barclay's Scottish Open Betting picks

The Course
Playing just over 7100 yards to a par of 71, the course is a test of all round ability. It doesn't really give an advantage to the longer hitters and accuracy is more the premium around the tree lined track and the winning score is usually low to mid teens under par.

Barclay's Scottish Open Selections Offering Value

Pick 1: Francesco Molinari E/W @ 33/1 (Ladbrokes) Off the back of a play off loss last week and tee to green game should set him up nicely here

Pick 2: Danny Willett E/W @ 66/1 (Ladbrokes) or 11/2 Top 10 (Betfair), Willett is a streaky player who came back to form last week. He can go on serious birdie runs and could be one to watch here this week

Pick 3: Gregory Havret E/W @ 80/1 (general) or Top 10 @ 8/1 Extrabet Havret had a poor French Open but not too surprising that he was so lethargic after a 2nd place in the US Open in his previous start. He is a former winner here so the course will suit.

If you're betting Top 10's in the golf, you'll generally get best prices at Betfair or Extrabet (who pay out in full for ties on Top 10's or Top 20's).

Sleeper(one to watch)
Martin Laird E/W @ 125/1 or Top 10 finish @ 9/1 (Betfair) Laird finished 10th here last year and will feel like he's on a free roll after qualifying for the British Open. He should play with a freedom and could be a dark horse.

Thank Us With A Beer

Bookmark and Share Share Delicious Bookmark On Delicious
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship