Champions League Battle Hots Up Some big games in the soccer fixtures this week both in the English Premier League and across Europe. In La Liga, Nic's Value Picks antepost betting tips David Villa(top scorer) and Valencia(Top 3) take on their biggest rivals for that third spot when Sevilla play hosts and look to push themselves back into the champions league places. David Villa will be out to stop them and push himself up to the top of the Pichici(top scorer) at the same time. In the English Premier League soccer betting, Villa travel to Fulham in a match that catches the eye for corner betting which has been quiet of late. The biggest Premier league fixture though is the meeting of 2 of the big 3 when Arsenal take on Man UTD. A good value betting opportunity presents itself on Friday night in the Bundesliga when the goal machines Wolfsburg travel to Ruud Van Nistelrooy's new club, Hamburg ....... stay tuned for Premier league betting / weekend Soccer tips/predictions

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Selection: Hamburg vs wolfsburg

Bet: Mladin Petric anytime scorer

Info: Playing against the Wolfsburg defense is mouth watering for any top class striker and Mladin Petric will be out to show new signing Ruud Van nistelrooy who's boss at Hamburg

Confidence: 60% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 17/10 Book: Expekt

-1pt Mladin Petric to score a brace @ 8/1 (skybet)

Selection: Hamburg vs wolfsburg

Bet: Goal line over 2.75

Info: Wolfsburg's last 5 games have gone 4,4,4,4,5 in terms of goals and with the firepower on show in this game, surely more of the same is in store especially with the recent sacking of the manager

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 1.96 Book: Ladbrokes

Selection: Depor vs Real Madrid

Bet: Real madrid win

Info: Pleasantly surprised at the pricing of this 1 due no doubt to Real madrid's record at the Riazor but Pelligrini has started to mould Madrid as a team and with Ronaldo(albeit may be missing if red card is upheld) and kaka beginning to click, odds against is great value on an away win here

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 21-20 Book: Bluesquare

Selection: Fulham vs Villa

Bet: Corners over 11

Info: Plenty of pace down the flanks and up top with the likes of Duff, Kamara, Young, Agbonlahor and Downing all possible/likely starters. Small surface area and Villa usually notch up the corners on pitches like this 1

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 5/6 Book: Bet365

Selection: Sevilla vs Valencia

Bet: over 2.5 goals

Info: Kanoute back from the African Nations, Negredo fresh off his first home la Liga goal for Sevilla and Fabiano back from injury. Valencia always good for at least 1 goal. Potential goalfest.

Confidence: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 4/5 Book: Exchanges

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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