La Liga / Premier League Football Betting Tips / Picks Jan 9-10

Fixtures in England premier league suffering Snowed Out In England Fixtures in the Barclays English Premier League are dropping like flies due to the weather this week so with the unpredictablity of the rest of the premier league football games, I'll focus mainly on La Liga for this weekend's soccer betting tips. Kicking off the la Liga fixture list this weekend is Valladolid vs Atletico and I'm getting conflicting reports about the starting lineups. Diego Costa and Sergio Aguero are 2 that are being tipped to come back in some areas and if they do, this match will be a good value betting opportunity. An understrength Sevilla play hosts to Racing in a potential banana skin, Valencia travel to Xerez in a match that sets up fantastically for the away side and betting odds of 17/10 on the handicap is a good value bet. Rounding off the La Liga fixtures is a Barcelona side looking to bounce back from defeat to Sevilla in the cup, away to Tenerife. In the Premier League, Chelsea away to Hull is still on for now and Anelka is 1 I'd fancy to get on the scoresheet. Westham vs Wolves could go against bookmaker/ odds compiler opinion and hit the over 2.5 goals ..... stay tuned for Premier League / La Liga expert value betting tips / Picks ...

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Selection: Valladolid vs Atletico

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: With reports that Aguero and Costa will be back for this clash, there could be goals in this 1. I'd fancy both the aforementioned to get on the sheet.

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 1/1 Book: Betfair

Selection: Valladolid vs Atletico

Bet: Aguero anytime scorer

Info: Reported to have resumed full training this morning and was in fine form before injury. Will be looking to pick up where he left off.

Confidence: 55% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 2/1 Book: Betfair

-1pt Aguero Brace @ 13/1 (PaddyPower)


Selection: Hull vs chelsea

Bet: Score/win double Anelka/Chelsea (VOID - Match postponed)

Info: Expected to lead the line after injury and his pace will cause serious problems to the Hull defensive line

Confidence: 55-60% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 6/4 Book: Bluesq

Selection: La Liga Double

Bet: Valencia win vs Xerez/ Villarreal win vs Almeria

Info: Valencia with fantastic away record, should be a game set up for them against toothless Xerez. Villarreal hitting form and almeria lacking firepower

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3.25pts Odds: 6/4 Book: Sky Bet

Selection: Espanyol vs Zaragoza

Bet: Espanyol win

Info: Ivan Alonso back for the home side and Zaragoza have been woeful on their travels this year

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 1/1 Book: Betfair

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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