NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022
Racing Up The Table There may be a massive table topping clash in this weekend's Spanish football when Real Madrid head to in form Valencia without their 2 big superstars but the value this weekend in La liga could be with little Racing Santander, fresh off the back of a demolition of Espanyol and a (unkown to the bookmakers) rising star named Canales on the goal trail. Racing are home to goal shy Xerez and look good price picks to grab another 3 points @ 3/4 while Canales can be had @ 4/1 anytime scorer or 75/1 for a brace on PaddyPower!(another Michael Owen perhaps?). Valencia will have no better chance of beating the new Madrid than this weekend with Ronaldo and Kaka both being out but I was hoping for a better price on the home win, although a score/win double with Villa may be on the cards. Watch out for another rising star as Athletic travel to Zaragoza. Yet to turn 17, Munain is tipped to be another Torres and could be value to get on the sheet. In the English Premiership, top of the billing is a now full strength Liverpool against an understrength Arsenal and I'd expect the reds, although in poor form, to be a decent pick to take all 3 points, with Torres on the scoresheet. Villa travel to an injury hit UTD and could be the value bet of the premiership this week to take that down with a (+1) handicap ... Stay tuned for La Liga/ English Premier League expert betting action

FREE expert value picks
Symbols Guide

Real time scoring and interactive chat here

Selection: Racing vs Xerez

Bet: Racing win

Info: Xerez are literally woeful in the offensive department and Racing have hit a rich vein of form and confidence is high off the back of a 4-0 win

Confidence: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 3/4 Book: Hills

Selection: Bolton vs Man City

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: This game should give up a lot of chances taking all variables into account and with strikers in form, they should be taken

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 10/11 Book: Betfair

Selection: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Bet: Goal line over 2.75

Info: Ronaldo and Kaka will be missing due to suspension and injury respectively but this fixture still has goals written all over it with the emphasis on attack from both sides and the defensive frailties still there

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 1.88 Book: Betdaq

Selection: Zaragoza vs Athletic

Bet: Munain anytime scorer (VOID - Non Starter)

Info: On the sheet last week and looked like he's been playing for years. Confident and will get lots of chances against a loose Zaragoza defense

Confidence: 50% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 3/1 Book: Sporting Bet

-1pt Munain to score a brace @ 20/1 (PaddyPower) (VOID - Non Starter)

Selection: Racing Santander vs Xerez

Bet: Canales anyime scorer (VOID - Non Runner)

Info: Fresh off a brace last week and home against the leagues bottom side, he's fantastic value at 13/2 to keep the run going

Confidence: 50% Stake: 2pts Odds: 13/2 Book: PaddyPower

-1pt Canales brace @ 75/1 (PaddyPower) (VOID - Non Runner)

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.