PREMIERSHIP/ SPANISH FOOTBALL PICKS DEC 19-20

Goalfest in Madrid: Higuain on fireReal Treat In Madrid
Live Spanish football kicks off on Saturday night with Real Zaragoza and Real Madrid meeting in a fixture that spells goals. Can Higuain continue his fine goalscoring run? Luis Fabianoless Sevilla play hosts to Getafe and on sunday live Spanish football includes a struggling Atletico away to Tenerife and a Valencia team looking to bounce back from defeat against Madrid, away to Deportivo la Coruna. In the Barclay's English Premier League, the focus will be on London this weekend as the main 3 title contenders will all be playing there. Arsenal host Hull, UTD travel to Fulham where a corner handicap may be a nice value bet and the pick of the games is a big London derby where Westham entertain a very strong looking Chelsea, where Didier Drogba looks to return and if he does, it could be more trouble for Westham ... Stay tuned for Premier league/ Spanish football expert weekend picks

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Selection: Real Madrid vs Zaragoza

Bet: Goal line over 3/3.5

Info: Real Madrid playing some good football of late with Ronaldo and Higuain on fire. Zaragoza only know 1 way and that's to go forward.

Confidence: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 1.88 Book: Ladbrokes

Selection: Fulham vs UTD

Bet: UTD corner handicap (-2)

Info: UTD on the road this year have been averaging a very large corner count and with the amount of time likely to be played in the fulham thrid, the -2 sould be overcome

Confidence: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 4/6 Book: Hills

Selection: Fulham vs UTD

Bet: Score/Win double Rooney/UTD

Info: Likely to get a lot of chances and in good form and full of confidence

Confidence: 60-65% Stake: 2.75pts Odds: 9/4 Book: Betfred

- 1pt Wayne Rooney to score a brace @ 6/1 (PaddyPower)


Selection: Westham vs Chelsea

Bet: Score/Win double Drogba/Chelsea

Info: Flying at the moment and will be out to make up for missing midweek match and he only has a few matches before the African Nations

Confidence: 60% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 8/5 Book: Betfred

- 1pt Drogba to score a brace @ 5/1 (Bluesq)

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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