English Premier League Betting Picks Dec 26-27

Torres To Bite Back against the Wolves
 In the aftermath of some serious and warranted abuse aimed towards Rafa Benitez and his under achieving Liverpool side, Fernando Torres has been hitting back in the newspapers and will be out to take some of the heat off in a Boxing day Premier League fixture I fully expect Liverpool to win with some ease. Betting tips this full football boxing day fixture list will focus mainly on this match. Drogba and his Chelsea(away to Birmingham) side and UTD(away to Hull) both look good value picks to take all three points and a double is on the cards. Elsewhere, the standout English Premier League Boxing day fixture is a fascinating looking encounter between Arsenal and Villa but in terms of betting, is too tight to call with no real value anywhere so I'll be giving it a miss. Other football fixtures in the Premier league include a London derby with Spurs travelling to an in form Fulham side and a decent opportunity for more betting tips may be Pompey away to Westham .... stay tuned for English Premier League expert football value picks

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Selection: Liverpool vs Wolves

Bet: Score/Win double - Torres/LFC

Info: Bound to be plenty of chances for arguably the world's no. 1 striker especially as Aquilani is tipped to start, giving the midfield an extra creative spark

Confidence: 60% Stake: 3pts Odds: 5/4 Book: Bluesq

-1pt Torres to score a brace @ 4/1 (Bluesq)



Selection: Liverpool vs Wolves

Bet: Liverpool win (-1) handicap

Info: As well as what's written above, Liverpool, although in poor form should have far too much for Wolves knowing that they must get 3 points

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 5/6 Book: Bluesq


Selection: Birmingham vs chelsea

Bet: Score/Win double - Drogba/Chelsea

Info: Drogba to sign off with a bang before the African cup of nations

Confidence: 55-60% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 2/1 Book: Betfred


Selection: Double

Bet: Chelsea win vs Birmingham /UTD win vs Hull

Info: Both look overpriced to take 3 away points

Confidence: 55-60% Stake: 3pts Odds: 6/5 Book: Bet365



Selection: Westham vs Pompey

Bet: Frederik Piquionne anytime scorer

Info: New to the Premiership and unheard of by most, Piquionne has been lighting the league on fire over the last few weeks. Westham always give up chances and 12/5 is a nice value price on confidence filled Piquionne continuing his streak

Confidence: 45-50% Stake: 1.75pts Odds: 12/5 Book: Sky Bet

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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