Champions League Betting Dec 8-9

Make Or Break Time
Some massive midweek football champions league games as many teams still battle it out to get to the lucrative champions league knockout stages. Standout fixtures include Wolfsburg vs Man UTD, Wolfsburg needing to better the result of CSKA, Bayern Munich are away to Juventus in a winner take all game, Inter, Kiev and Barca are all still battling it out and Neither Madrid or Milan have booked a place in the finals champions league knockout stages yet. UTD will field an under strength side away to Wolfsburg and that game looks a great value betting opportunity with the over 2.5 being odds against and best price 8/5 on the home win.... Stay tuned for midweek champions league expert value picks

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Selection: Wolfsburg vs Man UTD

Bet: over 2.5 goals

Info: UTD witout their whole first choice defense barring Evra. Wolfsburg needing a win to guarantee qualification. Michael Owen due to start and his pace and running along the backline could cause serious problems for Wolfsburg. In short, this game has goals written all over it.

Confidence: 80% Stake: 4.5pts Odds: 1/1 Book: Sky Bet

Selection: Wolfsburg vs Man UTD

Bet: Michael Owen anytime scorer

Info: As mentioned, Wolfsburg will be all hands to the pump and will leave a lot of space for the pace and intelligence of Owen to get in behind. 100/1 on the hattrick btw!

Confidence: 55% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 12/5 Book: Bluesq

-1pt Michael Owen to score a brace @ 20/1(Bluesq)

Selection: Wolfsburg vs Man UTD

Bet: Edin Dzeko anytime scorer

Info: With UTD's lack of defenders and the quality of Wolfsburg in attack, expect chances and lots of then for the home side. Dzeko will be out to impress his potential new employers after UTD expressed a big interest in him midweek

Confidence: 60% Stake: 2.75pts Odds: 17/10 Book: Expekt

-1pt edin Dzeko to score a brace @ 10/1(Bluesq)

Selection: Marseille vs Real Madrid

Bet: Score/win double - Ronaldo /Madrid

Info: Must not lose game for Madrid or they could find themselves alongside LFC in the UEFA cup and Ronaldo in particular will be out, fresh off his goal at the weekend (and also a red card) to perform when it matters

Confidence: 50-55% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 3/1 Book: (Bluesq)

Selection: Liverpool vs Fiorentina

Bet: Liverpool win

Info: Meaningless game for Liverpool but no doubt Rafa Benitez will place more emphasis on it than the premiership anyway (having quoted midweek: "HOPEFULLY Torres will be fit for Fiorentina) and the players anyway will want to earn some pride - good price at odds against

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3pts Odds: 11/10 Book:Bet365

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.



What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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