MIDWEEK PREMIERSHIP FOOTY BETTING DEC 15-16

Arshavin to quieten clarets? Almost a full midweek of football fixtures in the English Premier League with all the big teams lining out. Arsenal travel to burnley where Arshavin will look to add to his fantastic winning goal against Liverpool. Wolves, fresh off the back of their shock win over spurs will look for another feather in their cap when they travel to UTD, Hapless Liverpool play hosts to Wigan where they more then ever need their star players to perform and Chelsea have what on paper looks an easy 3 premiership points. In terms of value betting though, the match that looks a good betting opportunity is Spurs vs City which looks an enthralling encounter.... Stay tuned for expert value midweek premiership football picks ...

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Selection: Handicap Double

Bet: Chelsea (-1) vs Pompey/ UTD (-1) vs Wolves

Info: Both look convincing wins with both home teams needing to bounce back from disappointments at the weekend - decent price

Confidence: 60-65% Stake: 3pts Odds: 2.47 Book: Betfred

Selection: Burnley vs Arsenal

Bet: Score/win double - Arsenal/Arshavin

Info: Arshavin has been a revelation this season and will play as the main striker with Arsenal's injury troubles. Confidence high after winner at the weekend

Confidence: 60% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 2/1 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Spurs vs Man City

Bet: Corners over 11

Info: Pitch with small surface area, City have been clocking up the corners this year away from home and with the likes of Lennon, Petrov and Bellamy set to feature, there should be plenty of action in behind the defenses

Confidence: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 5/6 Book: Bet365

Selection: Spurs vs Man City

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: On form strikers, both have been scoring freely and struggling for clean sheets as of late

Confidence: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 7-10 Book: Betfair

Selection: Spurs vs Man City

Bet: Jermaine Defoe anytime scorer

Info: 1 of my favourite strikers to bet on as has been underrated for years and 13/8 is a tasty price for him to make me some more money against a side that always give up chances

Confidence: 55% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 13/8 Book: Boylesports

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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